Banco Comercial (Portugal) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.46
| BCP Stock | EUR 0.45 0.01 2.17% |
Banco |
Banco Comercial Target Price Odds to finish below 0.46
The tendency of Banco Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under € 0.46 after 90 days |
| 0.45 | 90 days | 0.46 | over 95.06 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Banco Comercial to stay under € 0.46 after 90 days from now is over 95.06 (This Banco Comercial Portugues probability density function shows the probability of Banco Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Banco Comercial Portugues price to stay between its current price of € 0.45 and € 0.46 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.59 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Banco Comercial Portugues has a beta of -0.38 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Banco Comercial are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Banco Comercial Portugues is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Banco Comercial Portugues has an alpha of 0.2133, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Banco Comercial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Banco Comercial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Banco Comercial Portugues. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Banco Comercial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Banco Comercial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Banco Comercial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Banco Comercial Portugues, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Banco Comercial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.38 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Banco Comercial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Banco Comercial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Banco Comercial Portugues can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Banco Comercial has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Banco Comercial has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 52.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Banco Comercial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Banco Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Banco Comercial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Banco Comercial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 15.1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 8.5 B |
Banco Comercial Technical Analysis
Banco Comercial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Banco Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Banco Comercial Portugues. In general, you should focus on analyzing Banco Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Banco Comercial Predictive Forecast Models
Banco Comercial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Banco Comercial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Banco Comercial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Banco Comercial Portugues
Checking the ongoing alerts about Banco Comercial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Banco Comercial Portugues help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Banco Comercial has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Banco Comercial has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 52.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Banco Stock Analysis
When running Banco Comercial's price analysis, check to measure Banco Comercial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Banco Comercial is operating at the current time. Most of Banco Comercial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Banco Comercial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Banco Comercial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Banco Comercial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.