Borders Southern Petroleum Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.0307

BDRSF Stock  USD 0.04  0.00  0.00%   
Borders Southern's future price is the expected price of Borders Southern instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Borders Southern Petroleum performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Borders Southern Backtesting, Borders Southern Valuation, Borders Southern Correlation, Borders Southern Hype Analysis, Borders Southern Volatility, Borders Southern History as well as Borders Southern Performance.
  
Please specify Borders Southern's target price for which you would like Borders Southern odds to be computed.

Borders Southern Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0307

The tendency of Borders Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 0.03  or more in 90 days
 0.04 90 days 0.03 
about 15.92
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Borders Southern to drop to $ 0.03  or more in 90 days from now is about 15.92 (This Borders Southern Petroleum probability density function shows the probability of Borders Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Borders Southern Pet price to stay between $ 0.03  and its current price of $0.035 at the end of the 90-day period is about 40.4 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Borders Southern Petroleum has a beta of -3.38 suggesting as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Borders Southern Petroleum are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Borders Southern is expected to outperform its benchmark. Moreover Borders Southern Petroleum has an alpha of 1.5499, implying that it can generate a 1.55 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Borders Southern Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Borders Southern

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Borders Southern Pet. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Borders Southern's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.040.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.030.38
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00070.030.38
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.030.030.03
Details

Borders Southern Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Borders Southern is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Borders Southern's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Borders Southern Petroleum, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Borders Southern within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.55
β
Beta against Dow Jones-3.38
σ
Overall volatility
0
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Borders Southern Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Borders Southern for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Borders Southern Pet can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Borders Southern Pet generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Borders Southern Pet has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Net Loss for the year was (1.02 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Borders Southern Petroleum has accumulated about 1.21 M in cash with (914 K) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 47.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Borders Southern Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Borders Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Borders Southern's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Borders Southern's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding515 M

Borders Southern Technical Analysis

Borders Southern's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Borders Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Borders Southern Petroleum. In general, you should focus on analyzing Borders Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Borders Southern Predictive Forecast Models

Borders Southern's time-series forecasting models is one of many Borders Southern's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Borders Southern's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Borders Southern Pet

Checking the ongoing alerts about Borders Southern for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Borders Southern Pet help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Borders Southern Pet generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Borders Southern Pet has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Net Loss for the year was (1.02 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Borders Southern Petroleum has accumulated about 1.21 M in cash with (914 K) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 47.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Borders Pink Sheet

Borders Southern financial ratios help investors to determine whether Borders Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Borders with respect to the benefits of owning Borders Southern security.