BEC World (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.83
| BEC Stock | THB 3.86 0.06 1.53% |
BEC |
BEC World Target Price Odds to finish below 3.83
The tendency of BEC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 3.83 or more in 90 days |
| 3.86 | 90 days | 3.83 | about 31.4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BEC World to drop to 3.83 or more in 90 days from now is about 31.4 (This BEC World Public probability density function shows the probability of BEC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BEC World Public price to stay between 3.83 and its current price of 3.86 at the end of the 90-day period is about 2.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon BEC World Public has a beta of -0.0794 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding BEC World are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, BEC World Public is likely to outperform the market. Additionally BEC World Public has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. BEC World Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for BEC World
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BEC World Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.BEC World Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BEC World is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BEC World's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BEC World Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BEC World within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.54 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
BEC World Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BEC World for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BEC World Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| BEC World Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| BEC World Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| BEC World Public has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 63.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
BEC World Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BEC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BEC World's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BEC World's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2 B |
BEC World Technical Analysis
BEC World's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BEC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BEC World Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing BEC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
BEC World Predictive Forecast Models
BEC World's time-series forecasting models is one of many BEC World's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BEC World's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about BEC World Public
Checking the ongoing alerts about BEC World for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BEC World Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| BEC World Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| BEC World Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| BEC World Public has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 63.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in BEC Stock
BEC World financial ratios help investors to determine whether BEC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BEC with respect to the benefits of owning BEC World security.