Bnteau SA (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 7.63

BEN Stock  EUR 7.63  0.52  6.38%   
Bnteau SA's future price is the expected price of Bnteau SA instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Bnteau SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Bnteau SA Backtesting, Bnteau SA Valuation, Bnteau SA Correlation, Bnteau SA Hype Analysis, Bnteau SA Volatility, Bnteau SA History as well as Bnteau SA Performance.
  
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Bnteau SA Target Price Odds to finish over 7.63

The tendency of Bnteau Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 7.63 90 days 7.63 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bnteau SA to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Bnteau SA probability density function shows the probability of Bnteau Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bnteau SA has a beta of -0.18 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Bnteau SA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Bnteau SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Bnteau SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Bnteau SA Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Bnteau SA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bnteau SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.197.6311.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.597.0310.47
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.767.2010.64
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.639.1610.70
Details

Bnteau SA Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bnteau SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bnteau SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bnteau SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bnteau SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.18
σ
Overall volatility
0.74
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Bnteau SA Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bnteau SA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bnteau SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bnteau SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Bnteau SA has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 54.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Bnteau SA Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bnteau Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bnteau SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bnteau SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding79.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments321.7 M

Bnteau SA Technical Analysis

Bnteau SA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bnteau Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bnteau SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bnteau Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Bnteau SA Predictive Forecast Models

Bnteau SA's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bnteau SA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bnteau SA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Bnteau SA

Checking the ongoing alerts about Bnteau SA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bnteau SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bnteau SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Bnteau SA has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 54.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Bnteau Stock

Bnteau SA financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bnteau Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bnteau with respect to the benefits of owning Bnteau SA security.