Bekasi Fajar (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 127.51
| BEST Stock | IDR 102.00 1.00 0.97% |
Bekasi |
Bekasi Fajar Target Price Odds to finish over 127.51
The tendency of Bekasi Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 127.51 or more in 90 days |
| 102.00 | 90 days | 127.51 | about 17.3 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bekasi Fajar to move over 127.51 or more in 90 days from now is about 17.3 (This Bekasi Fajar Industrial probability density function shows the probability of Bekasi Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bekasi Fajar Industrial price to stay between its current price of 102.00 and 127.51 at the end of the 90-day period is about 79.74 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bekasi Fajar has a beta of 0.0923 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Bekasi Fajar average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Bekasi Fajar Industrial will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Bekasi Fajar Industrial has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Bekasi Fajar Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Bekasi Fajar
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bekasi Fajar Industrial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bekasi Fajar Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bekasi Fajar is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bekasi Fajar's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bekasi Fajar Industrial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bekasi Fajar within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.31 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 9.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.2 |
Bekasi Fajar Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bekasi Fajar for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bekasi Fajar Industrial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Bekasi Fajar generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 229.84 B. Net Loss for the year was (71.05 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 118.14 B. | |
| Bekasi Fajar Industrial has accumulated about 799.04 B in cash with (12.67 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 82.83. | |
| Roughly 54.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Bekasi Fajar Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bekasi Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bekasi Fajar's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bekasi Fajar's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 9.6 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 560.1 B |
Bekasi Fajar Technical Analysis
Bekasi Fajar's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bekasi Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bekasi Fajar Industrial. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bekasi Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bekasi Fajar Predictive Forecast Models
Bekasi Fajar's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bekasi Fajar's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bekasi Fajar's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bekasi Fajar Industrial
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bekasi Fajar for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bekasi Fajar Industrial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Bekasi Fajar generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 229.84 B. Net Loss for the year was (71.05 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 118.14 B. | |
| Bekasi Fajar Industrial has accumulated about 799.04 B in cash with (12.67 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 82.83. | |
| Roughly 54.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Bekasi Stock
Bekasi Fajar financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bekasi Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bekasi with respect to the benefits of owning Bekasi Fajar security.