BFI Finance (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 896.88
| BFIN Stock | IDR 930.00 20.00 2.20% |
BFI |
BFI Finance Target Price Odds to finish below 896.88
The tendency of BFI Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 896.88 or more in 90 days |
| 930.00 | 90 days | 896.88 | about 5.67 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BFI Finance to drop to 896.88 or more in 90 days from now is about 5.67 (This BFI Finance Indonesia probability density function shows the probability of BFI Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BFI Finance Indonesia price to stay between 896.88 and its current price of 930.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.31 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon BFI Finance Indonesia has a beta of -0.29 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding BFI Finance are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, BFI Finance Indonesia is likely to outperform the market. Additionally BFI Finance Indonesia has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. BFI Finance Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for BFI Finance
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BFI Finance Indonesia. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.BFI Finance Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BFI Finance is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BFI Finance's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BFI Finance Indonesia, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BFI Finance within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.29 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 44.94 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
BFI Finance Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BFI Finance for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BFI Finance Indonesia can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| BFI Finance generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 56.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
BFI Finance Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BFI Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BFI Finance's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BFI Finance's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 15 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 969.2 B |
BFI Finance Technical Analysis
BFI Finance's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BFI Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BFI Finance Indonesia. In general, you should focus on analyzing BFI Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
BFI Finance Predictive Forecast Models
BFI Finance's time-series forecasting models is one of many BFI Finance's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BFI Finance's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about BFI Finance Indonesia
Checking the ongoing alerts about BFI Finance for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BFI Finance Indonesia help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| BFI Finance generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 56.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in BFI Stock
BFI Finance financial ratios help investors to determine whether BFI Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BFI with respect to the benefits of owning BFI Finance security.