Biglari Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1060.22
| BH-A Stock | USD 1,040 9.89 0.94% |
Biglari |
Biglari Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 1060.22
The tendency of Biglari Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 1,060 after 90 days |
| 1,040 | 90 days | 1,060 | about 82.79 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Biglari Holdings to stay under $ 1,060 after 90 days from now is about 82.79 (This Biglari Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Biglari Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Biglari Holdings price to stay between its current price of $ 1,040 and $ 1,060 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.88 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Biglari Holdings has a beta of -0.13 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Biglari Holdings are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Biglari Holdings is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Biglari Holdings has an alpha of 0.3825, implying that it can generate a 0.38 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Biglari Holdings Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Biglari Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Biglari Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Biglari Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Biglari Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Biglari Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Biglari Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Biglari Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.38 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 283.00 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Biglari Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Biglari Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Biglari Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Biglari Holdings is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Biglari Holdings appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Biglari Holdings currently holds 101.24 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 57.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Biglari Holdings has a current ratio of 0.58, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Biglari Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Over 87.0% of Biglari Holdings shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Biglari Sees Unusually-High Trading Volume Should You Buy |
Biglari Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Biglari Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Biglari Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Biglari Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 310.3 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 119.9 M |
Biglari Holdings Technical Analysis
Biglari Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Biglari Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Biglari Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Biglari Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Biglari Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
Biglari Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Biglari Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Biglari Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Biglari Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Biglari Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Biglari Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Biglari Holdings is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Biglari Holdings appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Biglari Holdings currently holds 101.24 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 57.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Biglari Holdings has a current ratio of 0.58, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Biglari Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| Over 87.0% of Biglari Holdings shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Biglari Sees Unusually-High Trading Volume Should You Buy |
Check out Biglari Holdings Backtesting, Biglari Holdings Valuation, Biglari Holdings Correlation, Biglari Holdings Hype Analysis, Biglari Holdings Volatility, Biglari Holdings History as well as Biglari Holdings Performance. For information on how to trade Biglari Stock refer to our How to Trade Biglari Stock guide.You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.