Bright Horizons (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 107.0
| BHA Stock | EUR 106.00 1.00 0.93% |
Bright |
Bright Horizons Target Price Odds to finish over 107.0
The tendency of Bright Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over € 107.00 or more in 90 days |
| 106.00 | 90 days | 107.00 | about 87.75 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bright Horizons to move over € 107.00 or more in 90 days from now is about 87.75 (This Bright Horizons Family probability density function shows the probability of Bright Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bright Horizons Family price to stay between its current price of € 106.00 and € 107.00 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.26 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Bright Horizons Family has a beta of -0.51 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Bright Horizons are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Bright Horizons Family is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Bright Horizons Family has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Bright Horizons Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Bright Horizons
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bright Horizons Family. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bright Horizons Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bright Horizons is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bright Horizons' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bright Horizons Family, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bright Horizons within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.17 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.51 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 8.37 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.2 |
Bright Horizons Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bright Horizons for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bright Horizons Family can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Bright Horizons generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Bright Horizons has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Bright Horizons Family has accumulated 961.58 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 216.4, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Bright Horizons Family has a current ratio of 0.36, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Bright Horizons until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Bright Horizons' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Bright Horizons Family sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Bright to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Bright Horizons' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 99.0% of Bright Horizons shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Bright Horizons Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bright Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bright Horizons' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bright Horizons' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 57.8 M |
Bright Horizons Technical Analysis
Bright Horizons' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bright Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bright Horizons Family. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bright Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bright Horizons Predictive Forecast Models
Bright Horizons' time-series forecasting models is one of many Bright Horizons' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bright Horizons' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bright Horizons Family
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bright Horizons for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bright Horizons Family help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Bright Horizons generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Bright Horizons has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Bright Horizons Family has accumulated 961.58 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 216.4, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Bright Horizons Family has a current ratio of 0.36, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Bright Horizons until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Bright Horizons' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Bright Horizons Family sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Bright to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Bright Horizons' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 99.0% of Bright Horizons shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Bright Stock
When determining whether Bright Horizons Family is a strong investment it is important to analyze Bright Horizons' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Bright Horizons' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Bright Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Bright Horizons Backtesting, Bright Horizons Valuation, Bright Horizons Correlation, Bright Horizons Hype Analysis, Bright Horizons Volatility, Bright Horizons History as well as Bright Horizons Performance. You can also try the FinTech Suite module to use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities.