Bright Horizons (Germany) Price Prediction
BHA Stock | EUR 110.00 1.00 0.92% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
30
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Bright Horizons hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bright Horizons Family from the perspective of Bright Horizons response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Bright Horizons to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Bright because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Bright Horizons after-hype prediction price | EUR 110.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Bright |
Bright Horizons After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Bright Horizons at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bright Horizons or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Bright Horizons, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
Bright Horizons Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Bright Horizons' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bright Horizons' historical news coverage. Bright Horizons' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 108.30 and 111.70, respectively. We have considered Bright Horizons' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Bright Horizons is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bright Horizons Family is based on 3 months time horizon.
Bright Horizons Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bright Horizons is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bright Horizons backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bright Horizons, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 1.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
110.00 | 110.00 | 0.00 |
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Bright Horizons Hype Timeline
Bright Horizons Family is currently traded for 110.00on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Bright is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.19%. %. The volatility of related hype on Bright Horizons is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 110.00. About 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Bright Horizons was currently reported as 18.79. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Bright Horizons Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Bright Horizons Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Bright Horizons' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bright Horizons' future price movements. Getting to know how Bright Horizons' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bright Horizons may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
GG7 | GRIFFIN MINING LTD | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.94 | (0.03) | 3.17 | (3.93) | 11.91 | |
G91 | Globe Trade Centre | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.37) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.98 | |
VEFW | MARKET VECTR RETAIL | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.37 | 0.16 | 1.48 | (1.01) | 5.17 | |
WN6 | CarsalesCom | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.00 | 0.09 | 2.73 | (1.79) | 6.24 | |
JUU | RETAIL FOOD GROUP | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.35 | 0.01 | 3.90 | (2.38) | 12.19 | |
HAM | Harmony Gold Mining | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.41 | (0.02) | 7.88 | (5.70) | 16.53 | |
LY1 | Lion One Metals | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.89 | 0.02 | 5.56 | (5.26) | 28.43 |
Bright Horizons Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Bright price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bright using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bright charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
About Bright Horizons Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Bright Horizons stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Bright Horizons Family, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Bright Horizons based on analysis of Bright Horizons hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Bright Horizons's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Bright Horizons's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Bright Horizons
The number of cover stories for Bright Horizons depends on current market conditions and Bright Horizons' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bright Horizons is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bright Horizons' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Bright Horizons Short Properties
Bright Horizons' future price predictability will typically decrease when Bright Horizons' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bright Horizons Family often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bright Horizons' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bright Horizons' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 57.8 M |
Complementary Tools for Bright Stock analysis
When running Bright Horizons' price analysis, check to measure Bright Horizons' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bright Horizons is operating at the current time. Most of Bright Horizons' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bright Horizons' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bright Horizons' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bright Horizons to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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