Banco Hipotecario (Argentina) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 415.0

BHIP Stock  ARS 515.00  30.50  6.30%   
Banco Hipotecario's future price is the expected price of Banco Hipotecario instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Banco Hipotecario SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Banco Hipotecario Backtesting, Banco Hipotecario Valuation, Banco Hipotecario Correlation, Banco Hipotecario Hype Analysis, Banco Hipotecario Volatility, Banco Hipotecario History as well as Banco Hipotecario Performance.
  
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Banco Hipotecario Target Price Odds to finish over 415.0

The tendency of Banco Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  415.00  in 90 days
 515.00 90 days 415.00 
about 38.44
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Banco Hipotecario to stay above  415.00  in 90 days from now is about 38.44 (This Banco Hipotecario SA probability density function shows the probability of Banco Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Banco Hipotecario price to stay between  415.00  and its current price of 515.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 38.44 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Banco Hipotecario SA has a beta of -0.93 suggesting Additionally Banco Hipotecario SA has an alpha of 0.5102, implying that it can generate a 0.51 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Banco Hipotecario Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Banco Hipotecario

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Banco Hipotecario. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
512.50515.00517.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
399.65402.15566.50
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
500.31502.80505.30
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
388.75445.00501.25
Details

Banco Hipotecario Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Banco Hipotecario is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Banco Hipotecario's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Banco Hipotecario SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Banco Hipotecario within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.51
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.93
σ
Overall volatility
23.75
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Banco Hipotecario Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Banco Hipotecario for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Banco Hipotecario can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 22.62 B. Net Loss for the year was (4.2 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 26.75 B.
Banco Hipotecario SA has accumulated about 24.84 B in cash with (134.69 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 16.93.

Banco Hipotecario Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Banco Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Banco Hipotecario's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Banco Hipotecario's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.5 B

Banco Hipotecario Technical Analysis

Banco Hipotecario's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Banco Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Banco Hipotecario SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Banco Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Banco Hipotecario Predictive Forecast Models

Banco Hipotecario's time-series forecasting models is one of many Banco Hipotecario's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Banco Hipotecario's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Banco Hipotecario

Checking the ongoing alerts about Banco Hipotecario for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Banco Hipotecario help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 22.62 B. Net Loss for the year was (4.2 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 26.75 B.
Banco Hipotecario SA has accumulated about 24.84 B in cash with (134.69 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 16.93.

Other Information on Investing in Banco Stock

Banco Hipotecario financial ratios help investors to determine whether Banco Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Banco with respect to the benefits of owning Banco Hipotecario security.