Bilia AB (Sweden) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 121.05
| BILI-A Stock | SEK 122.70 2.50 2.00% |
Bilia |
Bilia AB Target Price Odds to finish below 121.05
The tendency of Bilia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to kr 121.05 or more in 90 days |
| 122.70 | 90 days | 121.05 | about 41.71 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bilia AB to drop to kr 121.05 or more in 90 days from now is about 41.71 (This Bilia AB probability density function shows the probability of Bilia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bilia AB price to stay between kr 121.05 and its current price of kr122.7 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.74 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bilia AB has a beta of 0.49 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Bilia AB average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Bilia AB will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Bilia AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Bilia AB Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Bilia AB
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bilia AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bilia AB Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bilia AB is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bilia AB's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bilia AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bilia AB within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.49 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.14 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Bilia AB Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bilia AB for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bilia AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Bilia AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Bilia AB has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Bilia AB has accumulated 4.07 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 176.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Bilia AB has a current ratio of 0.89, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Bilia AB until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Bilia AB's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Bilia AB sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Bilia to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Bilia AB's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 24.0% of Bilia AB shares are held by company insiders |
Bilia AB Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bilia Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bilia AB's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bilia AB's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 92 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 456 M |
Bilia AB Technical Analysis
Bilia AB's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bilia Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bilia AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bilia Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bilia AB Predictive Forecast Models
Bilia AB's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bilia AB's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bilia AB's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bilia AB
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bilia AB for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bilia AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Bilia AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Bilia AB has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Bilia AB has accumulated 4.07 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 176.2, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Bilia AB has a current ratio of 0.89, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Bilia AB until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Bilia AB's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Bilia AB sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Bilia to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Bilia AB's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 24.0% of Bilia AB shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Bilia Stock
Bilia AB financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bilia Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bilia with respect to the benefits of owning Bilia AB security.