Binero Group (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.6

BINERO Stock  SEK 2.52  0.02  0.79%   
Binero Group's future price is the expected price of Binero Group instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Binero Group AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Binero Group Backtesting, Binero Group Valuation, Binero Group Correlation, Binero Group Hype Analysis, Binero Group Volatility, Binero Group History as well as Binero Group Performance.
  
Please specify Binero Group's target price for which you would like Binero Group odds to be computed.

Binero Group Target Price Odds to finish over 2.6

The tendency of Binero Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over kr 2.60  or more in 90 days
 2.52 90 days 2.60 
about 79.09
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Binero Group to move over kr 2.60  or more in 90 days from now is about 79.09 (This Binero Group AB probability density function shows the probability of Binero Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Binero Group AB price to stay between its current price of kr 2.52  and kr 2.60  at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.22 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Binero Group has a beta of 0.47 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Binero Group average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Binero Group AB will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Binero Group AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Binero Group Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Binero Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Binero Group AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.003.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.003.89
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.052.576.46
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.372.622.87
Details

Binero Group Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Binero Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Binero Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Binero Group AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Binero Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.31
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.47
σ
Overall volatility
0.21
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Binero Group Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Binero Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Binero Group AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Binero Group AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Binero Group AB has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Binero Group AB has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Binero Group AB has accumulated 33.2 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 22.8, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Binero Group AB has a current ratio of 0.28, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Binero Group until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Binero Group's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Binero Group AB sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Binero to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Binero Group's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 52.45 M. Net Loss for the year was (19.1 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 30.48 M.
Binero Group AB has accumulated about 28.4 M in cash with (13.04 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.23.
Roughly 80.0% of Binero Group shares are held by company insiders

Binero Group Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Binero Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Binero Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Binero Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding20.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments28.4 M

Binero Group Technical Analysis

Binero Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Binero Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Binero Group AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Binero Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Binero Group Predictive Forecast Models

Binero Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Binero Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Binero Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Binero Group AB

Checking the ongoing alerts about Binero Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Binero Group AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Binero Group AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Binero Group AB has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Binero Group AB has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Binero Group AB has accumulated 33.2 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 22.8, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Binero Group AB has a current ratio of 0.28, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Binero Group until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Binero Group's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Binero Group AB sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Binero to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Binero Group's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 52.45 M. Net Loss for the year was (19.1 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 30.48 M.
Binero Group AB has accumulated about 28.4 M in cash with (13.04 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.23.
Roughly 80.0% of Binero Group shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Binero Stock

Binero Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether Binero Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Binero with respect to the benefits of owning Binero Group security.