Bioter SA (Greece) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.68

BIOT Stock  EUR 0.29  0.03  9.38%   
Bioter SA's future price is the expected price of Bioter SA instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Bioter SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Bioter SA Backtesting, Bioter SA Valuation, Bioter SA Correlation, Bioter SA Hype Analysis, Bioter SA Volatility, Bioter SA History as well as Bioter SA Performance.
  
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Bioter SA Target Price Odds to finish over 4.68

The tendency of Bioter Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 4.68  or more in 90 days
 0.29 90 days 4.68 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bioter SA to move over € 4.68  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Bioter SA probability density function shows the probability of Bioter Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bioter SA price to stay between its current price of € 0.29  and € 4.68  at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.37 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bioter SA has a beta of -0.0892 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Bioter SA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Bioter SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Bioter SA has an alpha of 0.3784, implying that it can generate a 0.38 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Bioter SA Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Bioter SA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bioter SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.294.68
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.254.64
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.304.69
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.290.290.29
Details

Bioter SA Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bioter SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bioter SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bioter SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bioter SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.38
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.09
σ
Overall volatility
0.03
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Bioter SA Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bioter SA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bioter SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bioter SA has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Bioter SA had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Bioter SA has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Bioter SA has accumulated 143.2 M in total debt. Bioter SA has a current ratio of 0.18, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Bioter SA until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Bioter SA's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Bioter SA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Bioter to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Bioter SA's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 241 K. Net Loss for the year was (8.81 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (935 K).
Bioter SA has accumulated about 255 K in cash with (6.38 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Roughly 42.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Bioter SA Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bioter Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bioter SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bioter SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Float5.5 M

Bioter SA Technical Analysis

Bioter SA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bioter Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bioter SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bioter Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Bioter SA Predictive Forecast Models

Bioter SA's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bioter SA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bioter SA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Bioter SA

Checking the ongoing alerts about Bioter SA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bioter SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bioter SA has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Bioter SA had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Bioter SA has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Bioter SA has accumulated 143.2 M in total debt. Bioter SA has a current ratio of 0.18, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Bioter SA until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Bioter SA's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Bioter SA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Bioter to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Bioter SA's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 241 K. Net Loss for the year was (8.81 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (935 K).
Bioter SA has accumulated about 255 K in cash with (6.38 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01.
Roughly 42.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Additional Tools for Bioter Stock Analysis

When running Bioter SA's price analysis, check to measure Bioter SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bioter SA is operating at the current time. Most of Bioter SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bioter SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bioter SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bioter SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.