Biotage AB (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 153.72
| BIOT Stock | SEK 151.70 0.70 0.46% |
Biotage |
Biotage AB Target Price Odds to finish over 153.72
The tendency of Biotage Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over kr 153.72 or more in 90 days |
| 151.70 | 90 days | 153.72 | more than 94.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Biotage AB to move over kr 153.72 or more in 90 days from now is more than 94.0 (This Biotage AB probability density function shows the probability of Biotage Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Biotage AB price to stay between its current price of kr 151.70 and kr 153.72 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.63 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Biotage AB has a beta of 0.55 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Biotage AB average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Biotage AB will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Biotage AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Biotage AB Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Biotage AB
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Biotage AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Biotage AB Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Biotage AB is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Biotage AB's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Biotage AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Biotage AB within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.41 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.55 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 14.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.23 |
Biotage AB Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Biotage AB for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Biotage AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Biotage AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 65.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Biotage AB Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Biotage Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Biotage AB's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Biotage AB's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 65.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 311 M |
Biotage AB Technical Analysis
Biotage AB's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Biotage Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Biotage AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Biotage Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Biotage AB Predictive Forecast Models
Biotage AB's time-series forecasting models is one of many Biotage AB's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Biotage AB's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Biotage AB
Checking the ongoing alerts about Biotage AB for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Biotage AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Biotage AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 65.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies |
Additional Tools for Biotage Stock Analysis
When running Biotage AB's price analysis, check to measure Biotage AB's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Biotage AB is operating at the current time. Most of Biotage AB's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Biotage AB's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Biotage AB's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Biotage AB to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.