Safeplus International Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 12.43

BIPH Stock  USD 18.29  0.31  1.67%   
Safeplus International's future price is the expected price of Safeplus International instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Safeplus International Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Safeplus International Backtesting, Safeplus International Valuation, Safeplus International Correlation, Safeplus International Hype Analysis, Safeplus International Volatility, Safeplus International History as well as Safeplus International Performance.
  
As of now, Safeplus International's Price Fair Value is decreasing as compared to previous years. Please specify Safeplus International's target price for which you would like Safeplus International odds to be computed.

Safeplus International Target Price Odds to finish below 12.43

The tendency of Safeplus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 12.43  or more in 90 days
 18.29 90 days 12.43 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Safeplus International to drop to $ 12.43  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Safeplus International Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Safeplus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Safeplus International price to stay between $ 12.43  and its current price of $18.29 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.93 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Safeplus International has a beta of 0.0113 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Safeplus International average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Safeplus International Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Safeplus International Holdings has an alpha of 0.0043, implying that it can generate a 0.00434 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Safeplus International Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Safeplus International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Safeplus International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.6618.2919.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.1915.8220.12
Details

Safeplus International Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Safeplus International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Safeplus International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Safeplus International Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Safeplus International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.01
σ
Overall volatility
0.63
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Safeplus International Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Safeplus International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Safeplus International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Safeplus International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Safeplus International Holdings currently holds 49.95 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.45, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Safeplus International has a current ratio of 0.69, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Safeplus International's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
On 30th of September 2024 Safeplus International paid $ 0.3125 per share dividend to its current shareholders

Safeplus International Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Safeplus Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Safeplus International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Safeplus International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding459.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments2.7 B

Safeplus International Technical Analysis

Safeplus International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Safeplus Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Safeplus International Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Safeplus Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Safeplus International Predictive Forecast Models

Safeplus International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Safeplus International's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Safeplus International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Safeplus International

Checking the ongoing alerts about Safeplus International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Safeplus International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Safeplus International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Safeplus International Holdings currently holds 49.95 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.45, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Safeplus International has a current ratio of 0.69, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Safeplus International's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
On 30th of September 2024 Safeplus International paid $ 0.3125 per share dividend to its current shareholders
When determining whether Safeplus International offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Safeplus International's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Safeplus International Holdings Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Safeplus International Holdings Stock:
Check out Safeplus International Backtesting, Safeplus International Valuation, Safeplus International Correlation, Safeplus International Hype Analysis, Safeplus International Volatility, Safeplus International History as well as Safeplus International Performance.
You can also try the Instant Ratings module to determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Health Care Equipment & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Safeplus International. If investors know Safeplus will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Safeplus International listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.09)
Revenue Per Share
0.004
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.171
Return On Assets
(0.15)
The market value of Safeplus International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Safeplus that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Safeplus International's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Safeplus International's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Safeplus International's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Safeplus International's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Safeplus International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Safeplus International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Safeplus International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.