Berkeley Group Holdings Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 9.78
| BKGFY Stock | USD 10.89 0.24 2.16% |
Berkeley |
Berkeley Group Target Price Odds to finish over 9.78
The tendency of Berkeley Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 9.78 in 90 days |
| 10.89 | 90 days | 9.78 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Berkeley Group to stay above $ 9.78 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Berkeley Group Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Berkeley Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Berkeley Group Holdings price to stay between $ 9.78 and its current price of $10.89 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.59 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Berkeley Group Holdings has a beta of -0.24 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Berkeley Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Berkeley Group Holdings is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Berkeley Group Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Berkeley Group Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Berkeley Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Berkeley Group Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Berkeley Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Berkeley Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Berkeley Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Berkeley Group Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Berkeley Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.32 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.24 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.85 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.29 |
Berkeley Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Berkeley Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Berkeley Group Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Berkeley Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Berkeley Group Holdings has accumulated about 928.9 M in cash with (129.5 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.67. |
Berkeley Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Berkeley Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Berkeley Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Berkeley Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 635.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 928.9 M |
Berkeley Group Technical Analysis
Berkeley Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Berkeley Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Berkeley Group Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Berkeley Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Berkeley Group Predictive Forecast Models
Berkeley Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Berkeley Group's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Berkeley Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Berkeley Group Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Berkeley Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Berkeley Group Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Berkeley Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Berkeley Group Holdings has accumulated about 928.9 M in cash with (129.5 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.67. |
Additional Tools for Berkeley Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Berkeley Group's price analysis, check to measure Berkeley Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Berkeley Group is operating at the current time. Most of Berkeley Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Berkeley Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Berkeley Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Berkeley Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.