Bank Mandiri (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 6362.74
| BMRI Stock | IDR 6,250 25.00 0.40% |
Bank |
Bank Mandiri Target Price Odds to finish below 6362.74
The tendency of Bank Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 6,363 after 90 days |
| 6,250 | 90 days | 6,363 | nearly 4.7 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bank Mandiri to stay under 6,363 after 90 days from now is nearly 4.7 (This Bank Mandiri Persero probability density function shows the probability of Bank Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bank Mandiri Persero price to stay between its current price of 6,250 and 6,363 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.45 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bank Mandiri Persero has a beta of -0.6 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Bank Mandiri are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Bank Mandiri Persero is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Bank Mandiri Persero has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Bank Mandiri Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Bank Mandiri
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bank Mandiri Persero. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bank Mandiri Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bank Mandiri is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bank Mandiri's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bank Mandiri Persero, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bank Mandiri within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.6 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 346.97 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.2 |
Bank Mandiri Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bank Mandiri for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bank Mandiri Persero can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Bank Mandiri Persero generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 56.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Bank Mandiri Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bank Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bank Mandiri's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bank Mandiri's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 46.7 B | |
| Dividends Paid | -16.8 T | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 360.64 | |
| Shares Float | 17.5 B |
Bank Mandiri Technical Analysis
Bank Mandiri's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bank Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bank Mandiri Persero. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bank Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bank Mandiri Predictive Forecast Models
Bank Mandiri's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bank Mandiri's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bank Mandiri's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bank Mandiri Persero
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bank Mandiri for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bank Mandiri Persero help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Bank Mandiri Persero generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 56.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Bank Stock
Bank Mandiri financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bank Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bank with respect to the benefits of owning Bank Mandiri security.