Bankers Investment (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 114.37

BNKR Stock   116.40  0.40  0.34%   
Bankers Investment's future price is the expected price of Bankers Investment instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Bankers Investment Trust performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Bankers Investment Backtesting, Bankers Investment Valuation, Bankers Investment Correlation, Bankers Investment Hype Analysis, Bankers Investment Volatility, Bankers Investment History as well as Bankers Investment Performance.
  
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Bankers Investment Target Price Odds to finish below 114.37

The tendency of Bankers Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  114.37  or more in 90 days
 116.40 90 days 114.37 
about 85.29
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bankers Investment to drop to  114.37  or more in 90 days from now is about 85.29 (This Bankers Investment Trust probability density function shows the probability of Bankers Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bankers Investment Trust price to stay between  114.37  and its current price of 116.4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.95 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bankers Investment has a beta of 0.22 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Bankers Investment average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Bankers Investment Trust will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Bankers Investment Trust has an alpha of 0.0385, implying that it can generate a 0.0385 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Bankers Investment Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Bankers Investment

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bankers Investment Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
115.34116.06116.78
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
112.87113.59127.60
Details

Bankers Investment Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bankers Investment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bankers Investment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bankers Investment Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bankers Investment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.22
σ
Overall volatility
2.24
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Bankers Investment Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bankers Investment for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bankers Investment Trust can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Bankers Investment Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bankers Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bankers Investment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bankers Investment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.3 B
Cash And Short Term Investments27.6 M

Bankers Investment Technical Analysis

Bankers Investment's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bankers Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bankers Investment Trust. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bankers Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Bankers Investment Predictive Forecast Models

Bankers Investment's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bankers Investment's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bankers Investment's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Bankers Investment Trust

Checking the ongoing alerts about Bankers Investment for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bankers Investment Trust help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Additional Tools for Bankers Stock Analysis

When running Bankers Investment's price analysis, check to measure Bankers Investment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bankers Investment is operating at the current time. Most of Bankers Investment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bankers Investment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bankers Investment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bankers Investment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.