Bankers Investment Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average
| BNKR Stock | 115.80 1.00 0.87% |
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Bankers Investment Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 115.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.82 and the sum of the absolute errors of 47.61. Bankers Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
Bankers |
Bankers Investment 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Bankers Investment Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 115.10 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.82, mean absolute percentage error of 1.13, and the sum of the absolute errors of 47.61.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bankers Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bankers Investment's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Bankers Investment Stock Forecast Pattern
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Bankers Investment Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Bankers Investment's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bankers Investment's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 114.37 and 115.83, respectively. We have considered Bankers Investment's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bankers Investment stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bankers Investment stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.7186 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.2595 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.8209 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0073 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 47.6125 |
Predictive Modules for Bankers Investment
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bankers Investment Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Bankers Investment
For every potential investor in Bankers, whether a beginner or expert, Bankers Investment's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bankers Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bankers. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bankers Investment's price trends.Bankers Investment Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bankers Investment stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bankers Investment could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bankers Investment by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Bankers Investment Trust Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Bankers Investment's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Bankers Investment's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
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| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Bankers Investment Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bankers Investment stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bankers Investment shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bankers Investment stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Bankers Investment Trust entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 25283.55 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.8333 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 115.2 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 115.4 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 1.1 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 1.0 |
Bankers Investment Risk Indicators
The analysis of Bankers Investment's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bankers Investment's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bankers stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.58 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.7309 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.7213 | |||
| Variance | 0.5203 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.6176 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.5342 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.57) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Additional Tools for Bankers Stock Analysis
When running Bankers Investment's price analysis, check to measure Bankers Investment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bankers Investment is operating at the current time. Most of Bankers Investment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bankers Investment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bankers Investment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bankers Investment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.