Bonzun AB (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.0226
| BONZUN Stock | 0.01 0.0006 7.50% |
Bonzun |
Bonzun AB Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0226
The tendency of Bonzun Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 0.02 after 90 days |
| 0.01 | 90 days | 0.02 | about 90.44 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bonzun AB to stay under 0.02 after 90 days from now is about 90.44 (This Bonzun AB probability density function shows the probability of Bonzun Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bonzun AB price to stay between its current price of 0.01 and 0.02 at the end of the 90-day period is about 78.99 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bonzun AB has a beta of -3.07 suggesting as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Bonzun AB are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Bonzun AB is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Bonzun AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Bonzun AB Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Bonzun AB
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bonzun AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bonzun AB's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Bonzun AB Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bonzun AB is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bonzun AB's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bonzun AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bonzun AB within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.57 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -3.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Bonzun AB Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bonzun AB for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bonzun AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Bonzun AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Bonzun AB has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Bonzun AB has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the revenue of 359.48 K. Net Loss for the year was (9.58 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Bonzun AB generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Bonzun AB Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bonzun Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bonzun AB's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bonzun AB's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 79.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 609.2 K |
Bonzun AB Technical Analysis
Bonzun AB's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bonzun Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bonzun AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bonzun Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bonzun AB Predictive Forecast Models
Bonzun AB's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bonzun AB's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bonzun AB's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bonzun AB
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bonzun AB for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bonzun AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Bonzun AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Bonzun AB has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Bonzun AB has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the revenue of 359.48 K. Net Loss for the year was (9.58 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Bonzun AB generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Bonzun Stock
Bonzun AB financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bonzun Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bonzun with respect to the benefits of owning Bonzun AB security.