Bowhead Specialty Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 36.99
| BOW Stock | 35.80 1.01 2.90% |
Bowhead |
Bowhead Specialty Target Price Odds to finish below 36.99
The tendency of Bowhead Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 36.99 after 90 days |
| 35.80 | 90 days | 36.99 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bowhead Specialty to stay under 36.99 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Bowhead Specialty Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Bowhead Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bowhead Specialty price to stay between its current price of 35.80 and 36.99 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Bowhead Specialty has a beta of 0.63 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Bowhead Specialty average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Bowhead Specialty Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Bowhead Specialty Holdings has an alpha of 0.2046, implying that it can generate a 0.2 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Bowhead Specialty Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Bowhead Specialty
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bowhead Specialty. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bowhead Specialty Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bowhead Specialty is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bowhead Specialty's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bowhead Specialty Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bowhead Specialty within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.20 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.63 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Bowhead Specialty Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bowhead Specialty for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bowhead Specialty can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Bowhead Specialty has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Victory Capital Management Inc. Increases Position in Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. - MarketBeat |
Bowhead Specialty Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bowhead Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bowhead Specialty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bowhead Specialty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 31.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 118.1 M |
Bowhead Specialty Technical Analysis
Bowhead Specialty's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bowhead Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bowhead Specialty Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bowhead Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bowhead Specialty Predictive Forecast Models
Bowhead Specialty's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bowhead Specialty's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bowhead Specialty's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bowhead Specialty
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bowhead Specialty for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bowhead Specialty help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Bowhead Specialty has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Victory Capital Management Inc. Increases Position in Bowhead Specialty Holdings Inc. - MarketBeat |
Additional Tools for Bowhead Stock Analysis
When running Bowhead Specialty's price analysis, check to measure Bowhead Specialty's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bowhead Specialty is operating at the current time. Most of Bowhead Specialty's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bowhead Specialty's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bowhead Specialty's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bowhead Specialty to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.