Barfresh Food Group Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.70
| BRFH Stock | USD 2.70 0.25 8.47% |
Barfresh |
Barfresh Food Target Price Odds to finish over 2.70
The tendency of Barfresh Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 2.70 | 90 days | 2.70 | about 66.85 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Barfresh Food to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 66.85 (This Barfresh Food Group probability density function shows the probability of Barfresh Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Barfresh Food has a beta of 0.41 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Barfresh Food average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Barfresh Food Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Barfresh Food Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Barfresh Food Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Barfresh Food
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Barfresh Food Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Barfresh Food Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Barfresh Food is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Barfresh Food's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Barfresh Food Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Barfresh Food within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.27 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.41 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.39 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
Barfresh Food Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Barfresh Food for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Barfresh Food Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Barfresh Food Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Barfresh Food Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Barfresh Food Group has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 8.13 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.82 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.44 M. | |
| Barfresh Food Group currently holds about 2.84 M in cash with (2.96 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.22. | |
| Roughly 45.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: US Penny Stocks Spotlight Barfresh Food Group And 2 Promising Picks |
Barfresh Food Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Barfresh Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Barfresh Food's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Barfresh Food's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 13.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.9 M |
Barfresh Food Technical Analysis
Barfresh Food's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Barfresh Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Barfresh Food Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Barfresh Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Barfresh Food Predictive Forecast Models
Barfresh Food's time-series forecasting models is one of many Barfresh Food's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Barfresh Food's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Barfresh Food Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about Barfresh Food for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Barfresh Food Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Barfresh Food Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Barfresh Food Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Barfresh Food Group has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 8.13 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.82 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.44 M. | |
| Barfresh Food Group currently holds about 2.84 M in cash with (2.96 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.22. | |
| Roughly 45.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: US Penny Stocks Spotlight Barfresh Food Group And 2 Promising Picks |
Check out Barfresh Food Backtesting, Barfresh Food Valuation, Barfresh Food Correlation, Barfresh Food Hype Analysis, Barfresh Food Volatility, Barfresh Food History as well as Barfresh Food Performance. You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
Is Packaged Foods & Meats space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Barfresh Food. If investors know Barfresh will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Barfresh Food listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.18) | Revenue Per Share 0.675 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.397 | Return On Assets (0.44) | Return On Equity (1.98) |
The market value of Barfresh Food Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Barfresh that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Barfresh Food's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Barfresh Food's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Barfresh Food's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Barfresh Food's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Barfresh Food's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Barfresh Food is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Barfresh Food's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.