Brunswick Exploration Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.13

BRWXF Stock  USD 0.12  0.01  7.69%   
Brunswick Exploration's future price is the expected price of Brunswick Exploration instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Brunswick Exploration performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Brunswick Exploration Backtesting, Brunswick Exploration Valuation, Brunswick Exploration Correlation, Brunswick Exploration Hype Analysis, Brunswick Exploration Volatility, Brunswick Exploration History as well as Brunswick Exploration Performance.
  
Please specify Brunswick Exploration's target price for which you would like Brunswick Exploration odds to be computed.

Brunswick Exploration Target Price Odds to finish below 0.13

The tendency of Brunswick Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 0.13  after 90 days
 0.12 90 days 0.13 
about 34.82
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Brunswick Exploration to stay under $ 0.13  after 90 days from now is about 34.82 (This Brunswick Exploration probability density function shows the probability of Brunswick Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Brunswick Exploration price to stay between its current price of $ 0.12  and $ 0.13  at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Brunswick Exploration has a beta of 0.0757 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Brunswick Exploration average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Brunswick Exploration will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Brunswick Exploration has an alpha of 0.18, implying that it can generate a 0.18 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Brunswick Exploration Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Brunswick Exploration

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Brunswick Exploration. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Brunswick Exploration's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.128.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.118.36
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.138.38
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.110.130.14
Details

Brunswick Exploration Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Brunswick Exploration is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Brunswick Exploration's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Brunswick Exploration, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Brunswick Exploration within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.18
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.08
σ
Overall volatility
0.03
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

Brunswick Exploration Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Brunswick Exploration for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Brunswick Exploration can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Brunswick Exploration had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Brunswick Exploration has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Brunswick Exploration has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (64.19 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Brunswick Exploration has accumulated about 2.95 M in cash with (1.26 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02.
Roughly 28.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Brunswick Exploration Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Brunswick Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Brunswick Exploration's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Brunswick Exploration's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding131.4 M
Short Long Term Debt264.9 K
Shares Float113.7 M

Brunswick Exploration Technical Analysis

Brunswick Exploration's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Brunswick Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Brunswick Exploration. In general, you should focus on analyzing Brunswick Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Brunswick Exploration Predictive Forecast Models

Brunswick Exploration's time-series forecasting models is one of many Brunswick Exploration's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Brunswick Exploration's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Brunswick Exploration

Checking the ongoing alerts about Brunswick Exploration for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Brunswick Exploration help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Brunswick Exploration had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Brunswick Exploration has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Brunswick Exploration has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (64.19 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Brunswick Exploration has accumulated about 2.95 M in cash with (1.26 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02.
Roughly 28.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Brunswick Pink Sheet

Brunswick Exploration financial ratios help investors to determine whether Brunswick Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Brunswick with respect to the benefits of owning Brunswick Exploration security.