Bri Chem Corp Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5.44

BRY Stock  CAD 0.19  0.01  5.00%   
Bri Chem's future price is the expected price of Bri Chem instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Bri Chem Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Bri Chem Backtesting, Bri Chem Valuation, Bri Chem Correlation, Bri Chem Hype Analysis, Bri Chem Volatility, Bri Chem History as well as Bri Chem Performance.
  
At this time, Bri Chem's Price Book Value Ratio is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 24th of November 2024, Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is likely to grow to 0.76, while Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop 0.08. Please specify Bri Chem's target price for which you would like Bri Chem odds to be computed.

Bri Chem Target Price Odds to finish over 5.44

The tendency of Bri Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over C$ 5.44  or more in 90 days
 0.19 90 days 5.44 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bri Chem to move over C$ 5.44  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Bri Chem Corp probability density function shows the probability of Bri Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bri Chem Corp price to stay between its current price of C$ 0.19  and C$ 5.44  at the end of the 90-day period is about 98.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bri Chem has a beta of 0.43 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Bri Chem average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Bri Chem Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Bri Chem Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Bri Chem Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Bri Chem

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bri Chem Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.195.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.185.43
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.185.43
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.180.190.20
Details

Bri Chem Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bri Chem is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bri Chem's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bri Chem Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bri Chem within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.45
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.43
σ
Overall volatility
0.04
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Bri Chem Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bri Chem for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bri Chem Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bri Chem Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Bri Chem Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Bri Chem Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Bri Chem Corp has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Bri Chem Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bri Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bri Chem's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bri Chem's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding26.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.00

Bri Chem Technical Analysis

Bri Chem's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bri Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bri Chem Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bri Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Bri Chem Predictive Forecast Models

Bri Chem's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bri Chem's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bri Chem's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Bri Chem Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Bri Chem for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bri Chem Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Bri Chem Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Bri Chem Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Bri Chem Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Bri Chem Corp has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Bri Stock

Bri Chem financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bri Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bri with respect to the benefits of owning Bri Chem security.