Baird Strategic Municipal Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 9.83

BSNIX Fund  USD 10.33  0.01  0.1%   
Baird Strategic's future price is the expected price of Baird Strategic instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Baird Strategic Municipal performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Baird Strategic Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Baird Strategic Correlation, Baird Strategic Hype Analysis, Baird Strategic Volatility, Baird Strategic History as well as Baird Strategic Performance.
  
Please specify Baird Strategic's target price for which you would like Baird Strategic odds to be computed.

Baird Strategic Target Price Odds to finish below 9.83

The tendency of Baird Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 9.83  or more in 90 days
 10.33 90 days 9.83 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Baird Strategic to drop to $ 9.83  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Baird Strategic Municipal probability density function shows the probability of Baird Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Baird Strategic Municipal price to stay between $ 9.83  and its current price of $10.33 at the end of the 90-day period is about 60.51 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Baird Strategic Municipal has a beta of -0.064 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Baird Strategic are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Baird Strategic Municipal is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Baird Strategic Municipal has an alpha of 0.0067, implying that it can generate a 0.006678 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Baird Strategic Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Baird Strategic

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Baird Strategic Municipal. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.1610.3210.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.1610.3210.48
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.1810.3310.49
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.3110.3210.33
Details

Baird Strategic Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Baird Strategic is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Baird Strategic's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Baird Strategic Municipal, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Baird Strategic within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.06
σ
Overall volatility
0.04
Ir
Information ratio -0.78

Baird Strategic Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Baird Strategic for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Baird Strategic Municipal can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds about 7.65% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Baird Strategic Technical Analysis

Baird Strategic's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Baird Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Baird Strategic Municipal. In general, you should focus on analyzing Baird Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Baird Strategic Predictive Forecast Models

Baird Strategic's time-series forecasting models is one of many Baird Strategic's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Baird Strategic's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Baird Strategic Municipal

Checking the ongoing alerts about Baird Strategic for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Baird Strategic Municipal help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds about 7.65% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Other Information on Investing in Baird Mutual Fund

Baird Strategic financial ratios help investors to determine whether Baird Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Baird with respect to the benefits of owning Baird Strategic security.
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