BT Group (UK) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 152.15

BT-A Stock   151.25  3.55  2.40%   
BT Group's future price is the expected price of BT Group instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of BT Group Plc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out BT Group Backtesting, BT Group Valuation, BT Group Correlation, BT Group Hype Analysis, BT Group Volatility, BT Group History as well as BT Group Performance.
  
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BT Group Target Price Odds to finish over 152.15

The tendency of BT-A Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  152.15  or more in 90 days
 151.25 90 days 152.15 
about 1.83
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BT Group to move over  152.15  or more in 90 days from now is about 1.83 (This BT Group Plc probability density function shows the probability of BT-A Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BT Group Plc price to stay between its current price of  151.25  and  152.15  at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.26 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon BT Group Plc has a beta of -0.17 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding BT Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, BT Group Plc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally BT Group Plc has an alpha of 0.1909, implying that it can generate a 0.19 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   BT Group Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for BT Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BT Group Plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
150.28151.73153.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
122.65124.10166.38
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
155.25156.70158.15
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
3.944.735.18
Details

BT Group Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BT Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BT Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BT Group Plc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BT Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.17
σ
Overall volatility
4.04
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

BT Group Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BT Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BT Group Plc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 44.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: BT Group Faces Major Shareholder Exit - TipRanks

BT Group Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BT-A Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BT Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BT Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding10 B
Cash And Short Term Investments2.3 B

BT Group Technical Analysis

BT Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BT-A Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BT Group Plc. In general, you should focus on analyzing BT-A Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

BT Group Predictive Forecast Models

BT Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many BT Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BT Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about BT Group Plc

Checking the ongoing alerts about BT Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BT Group Plc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 44.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: BT Group Faces Major Shareholder Exit - TipRanks

Additional Tools for BT-A Stock Analysis

When running BT Group's price analysis, check to measure BT Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BT Group is operating at the current time. Most of BT Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BT Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BT Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BT Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.