Btu Metals Corp Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 0.018

BTUMF Stock  USD 0.02  0.00  0.00%   
BTU Metals' future price is the expected price of BTU Metals instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of BTU Metals Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out BTU Metals Backtesting, BTU Metals Valuation, BTU Metals Correlation, BTU Metals Hype Analysis, BTU Metals Volatility, BTU Metals History as well as BTU Metals Performance.
  
Please specify BTU Metals' target price for which you would like BTU Metals odds to be computed.

BTU Metals Target Price Odds to finish over 0.018

The tendency of BTU OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 0.02  in 90 days
 0.02 90 days 0.02 
about 85.55
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BTU Metals to stay above $ 0.02  in 90 days from now is about 85.55 (This BTU Metals Corp probability density function shows the probability of BTU OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BTU Metals Corp price to stay between $ 0.02  and its current price of $0.0205 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.26 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon BTU Metals has a beta of 0.53 suggesting as returns on the market go up, BTU Metals average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding BTU Metals Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally BTU Metals Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   BTU Metals Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for BTU Metals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BTU Metals Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.024.69
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.024.69
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00040.024.69
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.020.020.02
Details

BTU Metals Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BTU Metals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BTU Metals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BTU Metals Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BTU Metals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.81
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.53
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

BTU Metals Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BTU Metals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BTU Metals Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BTU Metals Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
BTU Metals Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
BTU Metals Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance
BTU Metals Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (697.61 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
BTU Metals Corp has accumulated about 515.07 K in cash with (432.83 K) of positive cash flow from operations.

BTU Metals Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BTU OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BTU Metals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BTU Metals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding117.2 M

BTU Metals Technical Analysis

BTU Metals' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BTU OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BTU Metals Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing BTU OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

BTU Metals Predictive Forecast Models

BTU Metals' time-series forecasting models is one of many BTU Metals' otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BTU Metals' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about BTU Metals Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about BTU Metals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BTU Metals Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BTU Metals Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
BTU Metals Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
BTU Metals Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance
BTU Metals Corp has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Net Loss for the year was (697.61 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
BTU Metals Corp has accumulated about 515.07 K in cash with (432.83 K) of positive cash flow from operations.

Other Information on Investing in BTU OTC Stock

BTU Metals financial ratios help investors to determine whether BTU OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BTU with respect to the benefits of owning BTU Metals security.