Bufab Holding (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 385.03
| BUFAB Stock | SEK 418.60 1.60 0.38% |
Bufab |
Bufab Holding Target Price Odds to finish below 385.03
The tendency of Bufab Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to kr 385.03 or more in 90 days |
| 418.60 | 90 days | 385.03 | about 43.63 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Bufab Holding to drop to kr 385.03 or more in 90 days from now is about 43.63 (This Bufab Holding AB probability density function shows the probability of Bufab Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Bufab Holding AB price to stay between kr 385.03 and its current price of kr418.6 at the end of the 90-day period is about 43.72 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Bufab Holding has a beta of 0.53 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Bufab Holding average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Bufab Holding AB will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Bufab Holding AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Bufab Holding Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Bufab Holding
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bufab Holding AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Bufab Holding Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Bufab Holding is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Bufab Holding's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Bufab Holding AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Bufab Holding within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.53 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 25.66 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Bufab Holding Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Bufab Holding for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Bufab Holding AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Bufab Holding AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Bufab Holding AB has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 30.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Bufab Holding Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Bufab Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Bufab Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bufab Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 37.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 293 M |
Bufab Holding Technical Analysis
Bufab Holding's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Bufab Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Bufab Holding AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Bufab Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Bufab Holding Predictive Forecast Models
Bufab Holding's time-series forecasting models is one of many Bufab Holding's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Bufab Holding's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Bufab Holding AB
Checking the ongoing alerts about Bufab Holding for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Bufab Holding AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Bufab Holding AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Bufab Holding AB has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| About 30.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Bufab Stock Analysis
When running Bufab Holding's price analysis, check to measure Bufab Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bufab Holding is operating at the current time. Most of Bufab Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bufab Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bufab Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bufab Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.