DevEx Resources (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.075

BUU Stock  EUR 0.07  0.01  7.41%   
DevEx Resources' future price is the expected price of DevEx Resources instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of DevEx Resources Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out DevEx Resources Backtesting, DevEx Resources Valuation, DevEx Resources Correlation, DevEx Resources Hype Analysis, DevEx Resources Volatility, DevEx Resources History as well as DevEx Resources Performance.
  
Please specify DevEx Resources' target price for which you would like DevEx Resources odds to be computed.

DevEx Resources Target Price Odds to finish over 0.075

The tendency of DevEx Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.07 90 days 0.07 
about 69.35
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of DevEx Resources to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 69.35 (This DevEx Resources Limited probability density function shows the probability of DevEx Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.69 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, DevEx Resources will likely underperform. Additionally DevEx Resources Limited has an alpha of 0.5211, implying that it can generate a 0.52 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   DevEx Resources Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for DevEx Resources

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DevEx Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0815.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0715.93
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.0815.94
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.050.070.09
Details

DevEx Resources Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. DevEx Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the DevEx Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold DevEx Resources Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of DevEx Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.52
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.69
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio 0.04

DevEx Resources Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of DevEx Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for DevEx Resources can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
DevEx Resources had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
DevEx Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
DevEx Resources has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company has a current ratio of 0.42, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist DevEx Resources until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, DevEx Resources' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like DevEx Resources sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for DevEx to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about DevEx Resources' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Net Loss for the year was (11.91 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
DevEx Resources Limited has accumulated about 110.51 K in cash with (9.24 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 30.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

DevEx Resources Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of DevEx Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential DevEx Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. DevEx Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding315.4 M

DevEx Resources Technical Analysis

DevEx Resources' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. DevEx Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of DevEx Resources Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing DevEx Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

DevEx Resources Predictive Forecast Models

DevEx Resources' time-series forecasting models is one of many DevEx Resources' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary DevEx Resources' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about DevEx Resources

Checking the ongoing alerts about DevEx Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for DevEx Resources help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
DevEx Resources had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
DevEx Resources has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
DevEx Resources has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company has a current ratio of 0.42, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist DevEx Resources until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, DevEx Resources' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like DevEx Resources sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for DevEx to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about DevEx Resources' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Net Loss for the year was (11.91 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
DevEx Resources Limited has accumulated about 110.51 K in cash with (9.24 M) of positive cash flow from operations.
Roughly 30.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in DevEx Stock

DevEx Resources financial ratios help investors to determine whether DevEx Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in DevEx with respect to the benefits of owning DevEx Resources security.