BARINGS EASTERN (Germany) Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 35.74

BYQA Fund  EUR 39.53  0.22  0.56%   
BARINGS EASTERN's future price is the expected price of BARINGS EASTERN instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of BARINGS EASTERN EUROPE performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out BARINGS EASTERN Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, BARINGS EASTERN Correlation, BARINGS EASTERN Hype Analysis, BARINGS EASTERN Volatility, BARINGS EASTERN History as well as BARINGS EASTERN Performance.
  
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BARINGS EASTERN Target Price Odds to finish below 35.74

The tendency of BARINGS Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 35.74  or more in 90 days
 39.53 90 days 35.74 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BARINGS EASTERN to drop to € 35.74  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This BARINGS EASTERN EUROPE probability density function shows the probability of BARINGS Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of BARINGS EASTERN EUROPE price to stay between € 35.74  and its current price of €39.53 at the end of the 90-day period is about 69.91 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon BARINGS EASTERN has a beta of 0.44 suggesting as returns on the market go up, BARINGS EASTERN average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding BARINGS EASTERN EUROPE will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally BARINGS EASTERN EUROPE has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   BARINGS EASTERN Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for BARINGS EASTERN

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BARINGS EASTERN EUROPE. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
38.6939.5340.37
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
38.6239.4640.30
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
38.0438.8839.73
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
38.4939.1439.79
Details

BARINGS EASTERN Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BARINGS EASTERN is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BARINGS EASTERN's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BARINGS EASTERN EUROPE, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BARINGS EASTERN within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.44
σ
Overall volatility
0.67
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

BARINGS EASTERN Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BARINGS EASTERN for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BARINGS EASTERN EUROPE can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BARINGS EASTERN generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

BARINGS EASTERN Technical Analysis

BARINGS EASTERN's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BARINGS Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BARINGS EASTERN EUROPE. In general, you should focus on analyzing BARINGS Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

BARINGS EASTERN Predictive Forecast Models

BARINGS EASTERN's time-series forecasting models is one of many BARINGS EASTERN's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BARINGS EASTERN's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about BARINGS EASTERN EUROPE

Checking the ongoing alerts about BARINGS EASTERN for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BARINGS EASTERN EUROPE help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
BARINGS EASTERN generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in BARINGS Fund

BARINGS EASTERN financial ratios help investors to determine whether BARINGS Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in BARINGS with respect to the benefits of owning BARINGS EASTERN security.
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