BAIYU Holdings Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.18
| BYUDelisted Stock | 0.18 0.01 5.26% |
BAIYU |
BAIYU Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over 0.18
The tendency of BAIYU Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 0.18 | 90 days | 0.18 | about 74.97 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of BAIYU Holdings to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 74.97 (This BAIYU Holdings probability density function shows the probability of BAIYU Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon BAIYU Holdings has a beta of -2.37 suggesting as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding BAIYU Holdings are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, BAIYU Holdings is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally BAIYU Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. BAIYU Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for BAIYU Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BAIYU Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of BAIYU Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
BAIYU Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. BAIYU Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the BAIYU Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold BAIYU Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of BAIYU Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -2.25 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -2.37 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.44 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.19 |
BAIYU Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of BAIYU Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for BAIYU Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| BAIYU Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| BAIYU Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| BAIYU Holdings has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| BAIYU Holdings has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 134.63 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (2.27 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 0. | |
| About 54.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
BAIYU Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of BAIYU Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential BAIYU Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BAIYU Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 8.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.5 M |
BAIYU Holdings Technical Analysis
BAIYU Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. BAIYU Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of BAIYU Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing BAIYU Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
BAIYU Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
BAIYU Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many BAIYU Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary BAIYU Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about BAIYU Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about BAIYU Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for BAIYU Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| BAIYU Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| BAIYU Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| BAIYU Holdings has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| BAIYU Holdings has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 134.63 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (2.27 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 0. | |
| About 54.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Check out BAIYU Holdings Backtesting, BAIYU Holdings Valuation, BAIYU Holdings Correlation, BAIYU Holdings Hype Analysis, BAIYU Holdings Volatility, BAIYU Holdings History as well as BAIYU Holdings Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Other Consideration for investing in BAIYU Stock
If you are still planning to invest in BAIYU Holdings check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the BAIYU Holdings' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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