Citigroup Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 66.56
| C Stock | USD 68.95 0.67 0.98% |
Citigroup |
Citigroup Target Price Odds to finish over 66.56
The tendency of Citigroup Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 66.56 in 90 days |
| 68.95 | 90 days | 66.56 | about 11.76 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Citigroup to stay above $ 66.56 in 90 days from now is about 11.76 (This Citigroup probability density function shows the probability of Citigroup Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Citigroup price to stay between $ 66.56 and its current price of $68.95 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.94 .
Taking into account the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.01 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Citigroup will likely underperform. Additionally Citigroup has an alpha of 0.0142, implying that it can generate a 0.0142 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Citigroup Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Citigroup
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Citigroup. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Citigroup's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Citigroup Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Citigroup is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Citigroup's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Citigroup, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Citigroup within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.31 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Citigroup Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Citigroup for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Citigroup can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Citigroup has accumulated about 990.92 B in cash with (73.42 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 511.61. | |
| Citigroup has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 74.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Autodesk Now Covered by Scotiabank |
Citigroup Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Citigroup Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Citigroup's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Citigroup's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 241.9 B |
Citigroup Technical Analysis
Citigroup's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Citigroup Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Citigroup. In general, you should focus on analyzing Citigroup Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Citigroup Predictive Forecast Models
Citigroup's time-series forecasting models is one of many Citigroup's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Citigroup's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Citigroup
Checking the ongoing alerts about Citigroup for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Citigroup help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Citigroup has accumulated about 990.92 B in cash with (73.42 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 511.61. | |
| Citigroup has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 74.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from thelincolnianonline.com: Autodesk Now Covered by Scotiabank |
Check out Citigroup Backtesting, Citigroup Valuation, Citigroup Correlation, Citigroup Hype Analysis, Citigroup Volatility, Citigroup History as well as Citigroup Performance. For information on how to trade Citigroup Stock refer to our How to Trade Citigroup Stock guide.You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Is Diversified Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Citigroup. If investors know Citigroup will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Citigroup listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.07) | Dividend Share 2.15 | Earnings Share 3.5 | Revenue Per Share 36.345 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) |
The market value of Citigroup is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Citigroup that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Citigroup's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Citigroup's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Citigroup's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Citigroup's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Citigroup's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Citigroup is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Citigroup's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.