Amundi Index (France) Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Over 121.18

C40 Etf  EUR 121.18  0.50  0.41%   
Amundi Index's future price is the expected price of Amundi Index instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Amundi Index Solutions performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Amundi Index Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Amundi Index Correlation, Amundi Index Hype Analysis, Amundi Index Volatility, Amundi Index History as well as Amundi Index Performance.
  
Please specify Amundi Index's target price for which you would like Amundi Index odds to be computed.

Amundi Index Target Price Odds to finish over 121.18

The tendency of Amundi Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 121.18 90 days 121.18 
about 99.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Amundi Index to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This Amundi Index Solutions probability density function shows the probability of Amundi Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Amundi Index has a beta of 0.47 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Amundi Index average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Amundi Index Solutions will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Amundi Index Solutions has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Amundi Index Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Amundi Index

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amundi Index Solutions. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
120.26121.18122.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
114.81115.73133.30
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
118.55119.47120.39
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
119.93124.12128.30
Details

Amundi Index Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Amundi Index is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Amundi Index's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Amundi Index Solutions, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Amundi Index within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.47
σ
Overall volatility
2.19
Ir
Information ratio -0.18

Amundi Index Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Amundi Index for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Amundi Index Solutions can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Amundi Index generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund holds 98.7% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Amundi Index Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Amundi Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Amundi Index's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Amundi Index's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day7.41k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month20.32k

Amundi Index Technical Analysis

Amundi Index's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Amundi Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Amundi Index Solutions. In general, you should focus on analyzing Amundi Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Amundi Index Predictive Forecast Models

Amundi Index's time-series forecasting models is one of many Amundi Index's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Amundi Index's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Amundi Index Solutions

Checking the ongoing alerts about Amundi Index for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Amundi Index Solutions help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Amundi Index generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund holds 98.7% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Amundi Etf

Amundi Index financial ratios help investors to determine whether Amundi Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Amundi with respect to the benefits of owning Amundi Index security.