Colonial Coal International Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 11.21
| CAD Stock | CAD 2.12 0.04 1.85% |
Colonial |
Colonial Coal Target Price Odds to finish over 11.21
The tendency of Colonial Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over C$ 11.21 or more in 90 days |
| 2.12 | 90 days | 11.21 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Colonial Coal to move over C$ 11.21 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Colonial Coal International probability density function shows the probability of Colonial Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Colonial Coal Intern price to stay between its current price of C$ 2.12 and C$ 11.21 at the end of the 90-day period is about 84.13 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Colonial Coal has a beta of 0.92 suggesting Colonial Coal International market returns are correlated to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Colonial Coal is expected to follow. Additionally Colonial Coal International has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Colonial Coal Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Colonial Coal
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Colonial Coal Intern. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Colonial Coal Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Colonial Coal is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Colonial Coal's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Colonial Coal International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Colonial Coal within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.55 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.92 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.24 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.18 |
Colonial Coal Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Colonial Coal for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Colonial Coal Intern can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Colonial Coal Intern generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Colonial Coal Intern has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Colonial Coal Intern has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (5.57 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (718). | |
| Colonial Coal International has accumulated about 3.13 M in cash with (1.76 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02. | |
| Roughly 27.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Colonial Coal Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Colonial Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Colonial Coal's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Colonial Coal's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 181.4 M |
Colonial Coal Technical Analysis
Colonial Coal's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Colonial Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Colonial Coal International. In general, you should focus on analyzing Colonial Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Colonial Coal Predictive Forecast Models
Colonial Coal's time-series forecasting models is one of many Colonial Coal's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Colonial Coal's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Colonial Coal Intern
Checking the ongoing alerts about Colonial Coal for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Colonial Coal Intern help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Colonial Coal Intern generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Colonial Coal Intern has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Colonial Coal Intern has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (5.57 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (718). | |
| Colonial Coal International has accumulated about 3.13 M in cash with (1.76 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02. | |
| Roughly 27.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Colonial Stock Analysis
When running Colonial Coal's price analysis, check to measure Colonial Coal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Colonial Coal is operating at the current time. Most of Colonial Coal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Colonial Coal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Colonial Coal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Colonial Coal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.