Cadence Bancorp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 38.59

CADE Stock  USD 38.88  0.91  2.40%   
Cadence Bancorp's future price is the expected price of Cadence Bancorp instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Cadence Bancorp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Cadence Bancorp Backtesting, Cadence Bancorp Valuation, Cadence Bancorp Correlation, Cadence Bancorp Hype Analysis, Cadence Bancorp Volatility, Cadence Bancorp History as well as Cadence Bancorp Performance.
For information on how to trade Cadence Stock refer to our How to Trade Cadence Stock guide.
  
At present, Cadence Bancorp's Price Book Value Ratio is projected to increase slightly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price To Free Cash Flows Ratio is expected to grow to 19.33, whereas Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is forecasted to decline to 0.48. Please specify Cadence Bancorp's target price for which you would like Cadence Bancorp odds to be computed.

Cadence Bancorp Target Price Odds to finish below 38.59

The tendency of Cadence Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 38.59  or more in 90 days
 38.88 90 days 38.59 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cadence Bancorp to drop to $ 38.59  or more in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Cadence Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of Cadence Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cadence Bancorp price to stay between $ 38.59  and its current price of $38.88 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.44 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Cadence Bancorp will likely underperform. Additionally Cadence Bancorp has an alpha of 0.0662, implying that it can generate a 0.0662 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Cadence Bancorp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cadence Bancorp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cadence Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cadence Bancorp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
36.1238.5941.06
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
32.8835.3542.77
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
35.1437.6040.07
Details
12 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
22.6024.8327.56
Details

Cadence Bancorp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cadence Bancorp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cadence Bancorp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cadence Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cadence Bancorp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.44
σ
Overall volatility
2.64
Ir
Information ratio 0.1

Cadence Bancorp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cadence Bancorp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cadence Bancorp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cadence Bancorp currently holds 4.58 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 14.4, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Cadence Bancorp has a current ratio of 0.05, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Cadence Bancorp's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Cadence Bancorp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 85.0% of Cadence Bancorp shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 1st of October 2024 Cadence Bancorp paid $ 0.25 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from prnewswire.com: Cadence Bank Welcomes Brad Silcox as President of Asset Management Trust Group

Cadence Bancorp Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cadence Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cadence Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cadence Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding182.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments4.2 B

Cadence Bancorp Technical Analysis

Cadence Bancorp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cadence Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cadence Bancorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cadence Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Cadence Bancorp Predictive Forecast Models

Cadence Bancorp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cadence Bancorp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cadence Bancorp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Cadence Bancorp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cadence Bancorp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cadence Bancorp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cadence Bancorp currently holds 4.58 B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 14.4, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Cadence Bancorp has a current ratio of 0.05, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Cadence Bancorp's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.
Cadence Bancorp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 85.0% of Cadence Bancorp shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 1st of October 2024 Cadence Bancorp paid $ 0.25 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from prnewswire.com: Cadence Bank Welcomes Brad Silcox as President of Asset Management Trust Group
When determining whether Cadence Bancorp is a strong investment it is important to analyze Cadence Bancorp's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Cadence Bancorp's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Cadence Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Cadence Bancorp Backtesting, Cadence Bancorp Valuation, Cadence Bancorp Correlation, Cadence Bancorp Hype Analysis, Cadence Bancorp Volatility, Cadence Bancorp History as well as Cadence Bancorp Performance.
For information on how to trade Cadence Stock refer to our How to Trade Cadence Stock guide.
You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.
Is Regional Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cadence Bancorp. If investors know Cadence will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cadence Bancorp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.471
Dividend Share
0.98
Earnings Share
0.63
Revenue Per Share
6.963
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.128
The market value of Cadence Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cadence that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cadence Bancorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cadence Bancorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cadence Bancorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cadence Bancorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cadence Bancorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cadence Bancorp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cadence Bancorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.