Calamos Alternative Nasdaq Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 28.88
| CANQ Etf | 28.72 0.56 1.99% |
Calamos |
Calamos Alternative Target Price Odds to finish below 28.88
The tendency of Calamos Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 28.88 after 90 days |
| 28.72 | 90 days | 28.88 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Calamos Alternative to stay under 28.88 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Calamos Alternative Nasdaq probability density function shows the probability of Calamos Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Calamos Alternative price to stay between its current price of 28.72 and 28.88 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Calamos Alternative has a beta of 0.49 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Calamos Alternative average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Calamos Alternative Nasdaq will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Calamos Alternative Nasdaq has an alpha of 0.08, implying that it can generate a 0.08 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Calamos Alternative Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Calamos Alternative
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Calamos Alternative. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Calamos Alternative Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Calamos Alternative is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Calamos Alternative's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Calamos Alternative Nasdaq, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Calamos Alternative within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.08 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.49 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.59 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Calamos Alternative Technical Analysis
Calamos Alternative's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Calamos Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Calamos Alternative Nasdaq. In general, you should focus on analyzing Calamos Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Calamos Alternative Predictive Forecast Models
Calamos Alternative's time-series forecasting models is one of many Calamos Alternative's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Calamos Alternative's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Calamos Alternative in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Calamos Alternative's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Calamos Alternative options trading.
Check out Calamos Alternative Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Calamos Alternative Correlation, Calamos Alternative Hype Analysis, Calamos Alternative Volatility, Calamos Alternative History as well as Calamos Alternative Performance. You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.
The market value of Calamos Alternative is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Calamos that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Calamos Alternative's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Calamos Alternative's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Calamos Alternative's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Calamos Alternative's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Calamos Alternative's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Calamos Alternative is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Calamos Alternative's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.