Commonwealth Bank Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 68.00
| CBAUFDelisted Stock | USD 87.68 0.00 0.00% |
Commonwealth |
Commonwealth Bank Target Price Odds to finish below 68.00
The tendency of Commonwealth Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 68.00 or more in 90 days |
| 87.68 | 90 days | 68.00 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Commonwealth Bank to drop to $ 68.00 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Commonwealth Bank probability density function shows the probability of Commonwealth Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Commonwealth Bank price to stay between $ 68.00 and its current price of $87.68 at the end of the 90-day period is about 82.32 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Commonwealth Bank has a beta of 0.34 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Commonwealth Bank average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Commonwealth Bank will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Commonwealth Bank has an alpha of 0.2357, implying that it can generate a 0.24 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Commonwealth Bank Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Commonwealth Bank
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Commonwealth Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Commonwealth Bank's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Commonwealth Bank Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Commonwealth Bank is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Commonwealth Bank's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Commonwealth Bank, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Commonwealth Bank within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.24 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.34 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.21 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Commonwealth Bank Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Commonwealth Bank for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Commonwealth Bank can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Commonwealth Bank is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Commonwealth Bank has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Commonwealth Bank has accumulated about 222.14 B in cash with (56.5 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 130.68. |
Commonwealth Bank Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Commonwealth Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Commonwealth Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Commonwealth Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.7 B | |
| Dividends Paid | 6.5 B |
Commonwealth Bank Technical Analysis
Commonwealth Bank's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Commonwealth Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Commonwealth Bank. In general, you should focus on analyzing Commonwealth Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Commonwealth Bank Predictive Forecast Models
Commonwealth Bank's time-series forecasting models is one of many Commonwealth Bank's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Commonwealth Bank's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Commonwealth Bank
Checking the ongoing alerts about Commonwealth Bank for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Commonwealth Bank help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Commonwealth Bank is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Commonwealth Bank has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Commonwealth Bank has accumulated about 222.14 B in cash with (56.5 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 130.68. |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment. You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Other Consideration for investing in Commonwealth Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in Commonwealth Bank check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Commonwealth Bank's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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