Cabot (Germany) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 88.00

CBT Stock  EUR 88.00  0.50  0.56%   
Cabot's future price is the expected price of Cabot instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Cabot performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Cabot Backtesting, Cabot Valuation, Cabot Correlation, Cabot Hype Analysis, Cabot Volatility, Cabot History as well as Cabot Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in Cabot Stock please use our How to Invest in Cabot guide.
  
Please specify Cabot's target price for which you would like Cabot odds to be computed.

Cabot Target Price Odds to finish over 88.00

The tendency of Cabot Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 88.00 90 days 88.00 
about 87.41
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cabot to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 87.41 (This Cabot probability density function shows the probability of Cabot Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Cabot has a beta of 0.28 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Cabot average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Cabot will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Cabot has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Cabot Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cabot

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cabot. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
86.3788.0089.63
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
70.5372.1696.80
Details

Cabot Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cabot is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cabot's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cabot, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cabot within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.23
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.28
σ
Overall volatility
7.46
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

Cabot Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cabot for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cabot can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cabot generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Cabot has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Over 94.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Cabot Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cabot Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cabot's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cabot's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding56.2 M

Cabot Technical Analysis

Cabot's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cabot Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cabot. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cabot Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Cabot Predictive Forecast Models

Cabot's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cabot's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cabot's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Cabot

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cabot for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cabot help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cabot generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Cabot has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Over 94.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Cabot Stock

When determining whether Cabot is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Cabot Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Cabot Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Cabot Stock:
Check out Cabot Backtesting, Cabot Valuation, Cabot Correlation, Cabot Hype Analysis, Cabot Volatility, Cabot History as well as Cabot Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in Cabot Stock please use our How to Invest in Cabot guide.
You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cabot's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cabot is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cabot's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.