Consolidated Construction (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 99.25
| CCCL Stock | 16.42 0.72 4.59% |
Consolidated |
Consolidated Construction Target Price Odds to finish over 99.25
The tendency of Consolidated Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 99.25 or more in 90 days |
| 16.42 | 90 days | 99.25 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Consolidated Construction to move over 99.25 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Consolidated Construction Consortium probability density function shows the probability of Consolidated Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Consolidated Construction price to stay between its current price of 16.42 and 99.25 at the end of the 90-day period is about 54.31 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Consolidated Construction Consortium has a beta of -11.52 suggesting as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Consolidated Construction Consortium are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Consolidated Construction is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that Consolidated Construction Consortium has an alpha of 12.0321, implying that it can generate a 12.03 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Consolidated Construction Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Consolidated Construction
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Consolidated Construction. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Consolidated Construction Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Consolidated Construction is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Consolidated Construction's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Consolidated Construction Consortium, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Consolidated Construction within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 12.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -11.52 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.57 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Consolidated Construction Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Consolidated Construction for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Consolidated Construction can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Consolidated Construction is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Consolidated Construction appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Consolidated Construction has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 62.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: CCCL Consolidated September 2024 Net Sales at Rs 56.63 crore, up 61.53 percent Y-o-Y - Moneycontrol |
Consolidated Construction Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Consolidated Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Consolidated Construction's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Consolidated Construction's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 398.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 140.6 M |
Consolidated Construction Technical Analysis
Consolidated Construction's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Consolidated Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Consolidated Construction Consortium. In general, you should focus on analyzing Consolidated Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Consolidated Construction Predictive Forecast Models
Consolidated Construction's time-series forecasting models is one of many Consolidated Construction's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Consolidated Construction's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Consolidated Construction
Checking the ongoing alerts about Consolidated Construction for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Consolidated Construction help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Consolidated Construction is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Consolidated Construction appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Consolidated Construction has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 62.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: CCCL Consolidated September 2024 Net Sales at Rs 56.63 crore, up 61.53 percent Y-o-Y - Moneycontrol |
Additional Tools for Consolidated Stock Analysis
When running Consolidated Construction's price analysis, check to measure Consolidated Construction's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Consolidated Construction is operating at the current time. Most of Consolidated Construction's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Consolidated Construction's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Consolidated Construction's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Consolidated Construction to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.