Coeur Dalene Bancorp Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 16.75
| CDAB Stock | USD 16.75 1.25 8.06% |
Coeur |
Coeur DAlene Target Price Odds to finish below 16.75
The tendency of Coeur Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 16.75 | 90 days | 16.75 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Coeur DAlene to move below current price in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Coeur dAlene Bancorp probability density function shows the probability of Coeur Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Coeur DAlene has a beta of 0.14 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Coeur DAlene average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Coeur dAlene Bancorp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Coeur dAlene Bancorp has an alpha of 0.1538, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Coeur DAlene Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Coeur DAlene
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Coeur dAlene Bancorp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Coeur DAlene Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Coeur DAlene is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Coeur DAlene's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Coeur dAlene Bancorp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Coeur DAlene within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.14 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.71 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.03 |
Coeur DAlene Technical Analysis
Coeur DAlene's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Coeur Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Coeur dAlene Bancorp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Coeur Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Coeur DAlene Predictive Forecast Models
Coeur DAlene's time-series forecasting models is one of many Coeur DAlene's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Coeur DAlene's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Coeur DAlene in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Coeur DAlene's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Coeur DAlene options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Coeur Pink Sheet
Coeur DAlene financial ratios help investors to determine whether Coeur Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Coeur with respect to the benefits of owning Coeur DAlene security.