Coeur Mining Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.87

CDE Stock  USD 6.68  0.04  0.60%   
Coeur Mining's future price is the expected price of Coeur Mining instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Coeur Mining performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Coeur Mining Backtesting, Coeur Mining Valuation, Coeur Mining Correlation, Coeur Mining Hype Analysis, Coeur Mining Volatility, Coeur Mining History as well as Coeur Mining Performance.
For information on how to trade Coeur Stock refer to our How to Trade Coeur Stock guide.
  
At present, Coeur Mining's Price To Operating Cash Flows Ratio is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price To Book Ratio is expected to grow to 1.77, whereas Price Earnings Ratio is forecasted to decline to (11.33). Please specify Coeur Mining's target price for which you would like Coeur Mining odds to be computed.

Coeur Mining Target Price Odds to finish over 4.87

The tendency of Coeur Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 4.87  in 90 days
 6.68 90 days 4.87 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Coeur Mining to stay above $ 4.87  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Coeur Mining probability density function shows the probability of Coeur Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Coeur Mining price to stay between $ 4.87  and its current price of $6.68 at the end of the 90-day period is about 60.82 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Coeur Mining has a beta of 0.58 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Coeur Mining average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Coeur Mining will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Coeur Mining has an alpha of 0.1717, implying that it can generate a 0.17 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Coeur Mining Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Coeur Mining

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Coeur Mining. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Coeur Mining's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.226.7411.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.404.929.44
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.607.1311.65
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
3.934.324.80
Details

Coeur Mining Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Coeur Mining is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Coeur Mining's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Coeur Mining, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Coeur Mining within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.17
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.58
σ
Overall volatility
0.54
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Coeur Mining Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Coeur Mining for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Coeur Mining can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Coeur Mining had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the last year's revenue of 821.21 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (103.61 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 139.56 M.
Coeur Mining has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 79.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Dakota Gold Step-Out Drilling Nearly Doubles the Strike Length of Modeled Homestake Mine-Style Gold Mineralization at Maitland

Coeur Mining Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Coeur Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Coeur Mining's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Coeur Mining's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding343.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments61.6 M

Coeur Mining Technical Analysis

Coeur Mining's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Coeur Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Coeur Mining. In general, you should focus on analyzing Coeur Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Coeur Mining Predictive Forecast Models

Coeur Mining's time-series forecasting models is one of many Coeur Mining's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Coeur Mining's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Coeur Mining

Checking the ongoing alerts about Coeur Mining for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Coeur Mining help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Coeur Mining had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the last year's revenue of 821.21 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (103.61 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 139.56 M.
Coeur Mining has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Over 79.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Dakota Gold Step-Out Drilling Nearly Doubles the Strike Length of Modeled Homestake Mine-Style Gold Mineralization at Maitland
When determining whether Coeur Mining is a strong investment it is important to analyze Coeur Mining's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Coeur Mining's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Coeur Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Coeur Mining Backtesting, Coeur Mining Valuation, Coeur Mining Correlation, Coeur Mining Hype Analysis, Coeur Mining Volatility, Coeur Mining History as well as Coeur Mining Performance.
For information on how to trade Coeur Stock refer to our How to Trade Coeur Stock guide.
You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.
Is Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Coeur Mining. If investors know Coeur will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Coeur Mining listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
2.443
Earnings Share
(0.01)
Revenue Per Share
2.602
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.611
Return On Assets
0.0253
The market value of Coeur Mining is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Coeur that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Coeur Mining's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Coeur Mining's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Coeur Mining's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Coeur Mining's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Coeur Mining's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Coeur Mining is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Coeur Mining's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.