Coelacanth Energy Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.55

CEIEF Stock  USD 0.54  0.01  1.89%   
Coelacanth Energy's future price is the expected price of Coelacanth Energy instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Coelacanth Energy performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Coelacanth Energy Backtesting, Coelacanth Energy Valuation, Coelacanth Energy Correlation, Coelacanth Energy Hype Analysis, Coelacanth Energy Volatility, Coelacanth Energy History as well as Coelacanth Energy Performance.
  
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Coelacanth Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 0.55

The tendency of Coelacanth Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 0.55  after 90 days
 0.54 90 days 0.55 
about 37.71
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Coelacanth Energy to stay under $ 0.55  after 90 days from now is about 37.71 (This Coelacanth Energy probability density function shows the probability of Coelacanth Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Coelacanth Energy price to stay between its current price of $ 0.54  and $ 0.55  at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Coelacanth Energy has a beta of 0.14 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Coelacanth Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Coelacanth Energy will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Coelacanth Energy has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Coelacanth Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Coelacanth Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Coelacanth Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Coelacanth Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.542.41
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.462.33
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.532.41
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.500.530.56
Details

Coelacanth Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Coelacanth Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Coelacanth Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Coelacanth Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Coelacanth Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.29
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.14
σ
Overall volatility
0.03
Ir
Information ratio -0.2

Coelacanth Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Coelacanth Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Coelacanth Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Coelacanth Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Coelacanth Energy has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
About 30.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Coelacanth Energy Technical Analysis

Coelacanth Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Coelacanth Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Coelacanth Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Coelacanth Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Coelacanth Energy Predictive Forecast Models

Coelacanth Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Coelacanth Energy's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Coelacanth Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Coelacanth Energy

Checking the ongoing alerts about Coelacanth Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Coelacanth Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Coelacanth Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Coelacanth Energy has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
About 30.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Coelacanth Pink Sheet

Coelacanth Energy financial ratios help investors to determine whether Coelacanth Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Coelacanth with respect to the benefits of owning Coelacanth Energy security.