CEMEX SAB (Mexico) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 8.69
| CEMEXCPO | MXN 11.73 0.40 3.53% |
CEMEX |
CEMEX SAB Target Price Odds to finish below 8.69
The tendency of CEMEX Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 8.69 or more in 90 days |
| 11.73 | 90 days | 8.69 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of CEMEX SAB to drop to 8.69 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This CEMEX SAB de probability density function shows the probability of CEMEX Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of CEMEX SAB de price to stay between 8.69 and its current price of 11.73 at the end of the 90-day period is about 56.47 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon CEMEX SAB has a beta of 0.68 suggesting as returns on the market go up, CEMEX SAB average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding CEMEX SAB de will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally CEMEX SAB de has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. CEMEX SAB Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for CEMEX SAB
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CEMEX SAB de. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CEMEX SAB's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
CEMEX SAB Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. CEMEX SAB is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the CEMEX SAB's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold CEMEX SAB de, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of CEMEX SAB within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.68 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.55 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
CEMEX SAB Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of CEMEX SAB for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for CEMEX SAB de can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| CEMEX SAB de has accumulated 7.31 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.83, which is about average as compared to similar companies. CEMEX SAB de has a current ratio of 0.86, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist CEMEX SAB until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, CEMEX SAB's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like CEMEX SAB de sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for CEMEX to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about CEMEX SAB's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
CEMEX SAB Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of CEMEX Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential CEMEX SAB's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CEMEX SAB's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 45.5 B |
CEMEX SAB Technical Analysis
CEMEX SAB's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. CEMEX Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of CEMEX SAB de. In general, you should focus on analyzing CEMEX Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
CEMEX SAB Predictive Forecast Models
CEMEX SAB's time-series forecasting models is one of many CEMEX SAB's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary CEMEX SAB's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about CEMEX SAB de
Checking the ongoing alerts about CEMEX SAB for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for CEMEX SAB de help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| CEMEX SAB de has accumulated 7.31 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.83, which is about average as compared to similar companies. CEMEX SAB de has a current ratio of 0.86, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist CEMEX SAB until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, CEMEX SAB's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like CEMEX SAB de sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for CEMEX to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about CEMEX SAB's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. |
Additional Tools for CEMEX Stock Analysis
When running CEMEX SAB's price analysis, check to measure CEMEX SAB's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CEMEX SAB is operating at the current time. Most of CEMEX SAB's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CEMEX SAB's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CEMEX SAB's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CEMEX SAB to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.