Groupe CRIT (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 75.04
| CEN Stock | EUR 62.80 0.40 0.64% |
Groupe |
Groupe CRIT Target Price Odds to finish below 75.04
The tendency of Groupe Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under € 75.04 after 90 days |
| 62.80 | 90 days | 75.04 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Groupe CRIT to stay under € 75.04 after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Groupe CRIT SA probability density function shows the probability of Groupe Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Groupe CRIT SA price to stay between its current price of € 62.80 and € 75.04 at the end of the 90-day period is about 77.62 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Groupe CRIT SA has a beta of -0.28 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Groupe CRIT are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Groupe CRIT SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Groupe CRIT SA has an alpha of 0.0475, implying that it can generate a 0.0475 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Groupe CRIT Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Groupe CRIT
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Groupe CRIT SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Groupe CRIT Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Groupe CRIT is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Groupe CRIT's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Groupe CRIT SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Groupe CRIT within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.28 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.75 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Groupe CRIT Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Groupe CRIT for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Groupe CRIT SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 77.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Groupe CRIT Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Groupe Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Groupe CRIT's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Groupe CRIT's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 11.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 405.6 M |
Groupe CRIT Technical Analysis
Groupe CRIT's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Groupe Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Groupe CRIT SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Groupe Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Groupe CRIT Predictive Forecast Models
Groupe CRIT's time-series forecasting models is one of many Groupe CRIT's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Groupe CRIT's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Groupe CRIT SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Groupe CRIT for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Groupe CRIT SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 77.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Groupe Stock
Groupe CRIT financial ratios help investors to determine whether Groupe Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Groupe with respect to the benefits of owning Groupe CRIT security.