Central Puerto (Argentina) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1500.0
| CEPU Stock | ARS 1,515 15.00 1.00% |
Central |
Central Puerto Target Price Odds to finish over 1500.0
The tendency of Central Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 1,500 in 90 days |
| 1,515 | 90 days | 1,500 | about 5.23 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Central Puerto to stay above 1,500 in 90 days from now is about 5.23 (This Central Puerto SA probability density function shows the probability of Central Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Central Puerto SA price to stay between 1,500 and its current price of 1515.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.17 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Central Puerto SA has a beta of -0.48 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Central Puerto are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Central Puerto SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Central Puerto SA has an alpha of 0.5339, implying that it can generate a 0.53 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Central Puerto Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Central Puerto
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Central Puerto SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Central Puerto Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Central Puerto is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Central Puerto's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Central Puerto SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Central Puerto within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.53 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.48 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 123.95 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
Central Puerto Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Central Puerto for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Central Puerto SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company reported the revenue of 57.08 B. Net Loss for the year was (742.08 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 27.48 B. | |
| About 35.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Central Puerto Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Central Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Central Puerto's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Central Puerto's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.5 B |
Central Puerto Technical Analysis
Central Puerto's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Central Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Central Puerto SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Central Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Central Puerto Predictive Forecast Models
Central Puerto's time-series forecasting models is one of many Central Puerto's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Central Puerto's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Central Puerto SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Central Puerto for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Central Puerto SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company reported the revenue of 57.08 B. Net Loss for the year was (742.08 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 27.48 B. | |
| About 35.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Central Stock
When determining whether Central Puerto SA is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Central Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Central Puerto Sa Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Central Puerto Sa Stock:Check out Central Puerto Backtesting, Central Puerto Valuation, Central Puerto Correlation, Central Puerto Hype Analysis, Central Puerto Volatility, Central Puerto History as well as Central Puerto Performance. You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.