Cheesecake Factory (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 48.68

CF2 Stock  EUR 48.68  2.50  4.88%   
Cheesecake Factory's future price is the expected price of Cheesecake Factory instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of The Cheesecake Factory performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Cheesecake Factory Analysis, Cheesecake Factory Valuation, Cheesecake Factory Correlation, Cheesecake Factory Hype Analysis, Cheesecake Factory Volatility, Cheesecake Factory Price History as well as Cheesecake Factory Performance.
  
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Cheesecake Factory Target Price Odds to finish over 48.68

The tendency of Cheesecake Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 48.68 90 days 48.68 
about 19.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cheesecake Factory to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 19.0 (This The Cheesecake Factory probability density function shows the probability of Cheesecake Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Cheesecake Factory has a beta of 0.32 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Cheesecake Factory average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding The Cheesecake Factory will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The Cheesecake Factory has an alpha of 0.299, implying that it can generate a 0.3 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Cheesecake Factory Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Cheesecake Factory

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as The Cheesecake Factory. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
46.8749.2751.67
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
44.4746.8749.27
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.620.730.80
Details

Cheesecake Factory Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cheesecake Factory is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cheesecake Factory's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold The Cheesecake Factory, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cheesecake Factory within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.30
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.32
σ
Overall volatility
4.75
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Cheesecake Factory Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cheesecake Factory for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for The Cheesecake Factory can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cheesecake Factory has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The Cheesecake Factory has accumulated 2.6 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 195.4, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. The Cheesecake Factory has a current ratio of 0.34, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Cheesecake Factory until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Cheesecake Factory's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like The Cheesecake Factory sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Cheesecake to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Cheesecake Factory's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 92.0% of Cheesecake Factory shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Cheesecake Factory Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates What to Know Ahead of Q4 Release - Finviz

Cheesecake Factory Technical Analysis

Cheesecake Factory's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cheesecake Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of The Cheesecake Factory. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cheesecake Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Cheesecake Factory Predictive Forecast Models

Cheesecake Factory's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cheesecake Factory's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cheesecake Factory's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about The Cheesecake Factory

Checking the ongoing alerts about Cheesecake Factory for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for The Cheesecake Factory help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Cheesecake Factory has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
The Cheesecake Factory has accumulated 2.6 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 195.4, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. The Cheesecake Factory has a current ratio of 0.34, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Cheesecake Factory until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Cheesecake Factory's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like The Cheesecake Factory sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Cheesecake to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Cheesecake Factory's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 92.0% of Cheesecake Factory shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
Latest headline from news.google.com: Cheesecake Factory Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates What to Know Ahead of Q4 Release - Finviz
When determining whether The Cheesecake Factory is a strong investment it is important to analyze Cheesecake Factory's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Cheesecake Factory's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Cheesecake Stock, refer to the following important reports:
It's important to distinguish between Cheesecake Factory's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Cheesecake Factory should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Cheesecake Factory's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.