Cheesecake Factory Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| CF2 Stock | EUR 48.68 2.50 4.88% |
Cheesecake Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Cheesecake Factory's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 15th of February 2026 the relative strength indicator of Cheesecake Factory's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.082 | Wall Street Target Price 55.73 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.048 |
Using Cheesecake Factory hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of The Cheesecake Factory from the perspective of Cheesecake Factory response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of The Cheesecake Factory on the next trading day is expected to be 48.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.87 and the sum of the absolute errors of 52.29. Cheesecake Factory after-hype prediction price | EUR 48.75 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Cheesecake |
Cheesecake Factory Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Cheesecake price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cheesecake using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cheesecake charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Cheesecake Factory Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 16th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of The Cheesecake Factory on the next trading day is expected to be 48.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.87, mean absolute percentage error of 1.19, and the sum of the absolute errors of 52.29.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cheesecake Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cheesecake Factory's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Cheesecake Factory Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Cheesecake Factory | Cheesecake Factory Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Cheesecake Factory Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Cheesecake Factory's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cheesecake Factory's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 46.28 and 51.08, respectively. We have considered Cheesecake Factory's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cheesecake Factory stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cheesecake Factory stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.4496 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.1735 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.8715 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0193 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 52.29 |
Predictive Modules for Cheesecake Factory
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as The Cheesecake Factory. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Cheesecake Factory After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Cheesecake Factory at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cheesecake Factory or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cheesecake Factory, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Cheesecake Factory Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Cheesecake Factory's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cheesecake Factory's historical news coverage. Cheesecake Factory's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 46.35 and 51.15, respectively. We have considered Cheesecake Factory's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Cheesecake Factory is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of The Cheesecake Factory is based on 3 months time horizon.
Cheesecake Factory Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cheesecake Factory is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cheesecake Factory backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cheesecake Factory, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.42 | 2.40 | 0.07 | 0.08 | 6 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
48.68 | 48.75 | 0.14 |
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Cheesecake Factory Hype Timeline
The Cheesecake Factory is currently traded for 48.68on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.07, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.08. Cheesecake is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 48.75 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price rise on the next news is forecasted to be 0.14%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.42%. The volatility of related hype on Cheesecake Factory is about 1190.7%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 48.60. The company reported the revenue of 3.58 B. Net Income was 156.78 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.49 B. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cheesecake Factory to cross-verify your projections.Cheesecake Factory Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Cheesecake Factory's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cheesecake Factory's future price movements. Getting to know how Cheesecake Factory's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cheesecake Factory may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EJ7 | Energy Resources of | (0) | 4 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 50.00 | (33.33) | 106.67 | |
| PJM | PT Bumi Resources | (0) | 1 per month | 8.54 | 0.14 | 21.05 | (17.39) | 68.44 | |
| C6T | China Construction Bank | (0.01) | 6 per month | 3.36 | (0.01) | 3.37 | (2.44) | 26.06 | |
| BYRA | PT Bank Rakyat | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.34 | 0.04 | 11.11 | (10.00) | 26.67 | |
| NVDG | NVIDIA P CDR | (1.60) | 1 per month | 2.72 | (0) | 4.88 | (5.13) | 17.14 | |
| APC8 | APPLE INC CDR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.66 | (2.59) | 7.08 | |
| IBNN | VELA TECHNOLPLC LS 0001 | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| AMZ1 | AMAZONCOM INCCDR DL 01 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 6.37 | (5.88) | 23.77 |
Other Forecasting Options for Cheesecake Factory
For every potential investor in Cheesecake, whether a beginner or expert, Cheesecake Factory's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cheesecake Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cheesecake. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cheesecake Factory's price trends.Cheesecake Factory Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cheesecake Factory stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cheesecake Factory could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cheesecake Factory by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Cheesecake Factory Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cheesecake Factory stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cheesecake Factory shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cheesecake Factory stock market strength indicators, traders can identify The Cheesecake Factory entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.95 | |||
| Day Median Price | 48.68 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 48.68 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.25) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (2.50) |
Cheesecake Factory Risk Indicators
The analysis of Cheesecake Factory's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cheesecake Factory's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cheesecake stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.93 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.09 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.43 | |||
| Variance | 5.89 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.39 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.38 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.14) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Cheesecake Factory
The number of cover stories for Cheesecake Factory depends on current market conditions and Cheesecake Factory's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cheesecake Factory is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cheesecake Factory's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cheesecake Factory to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.