Citizens Financial Group, Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 27.29

CFG-PH Stock   27.28  0.37  1.37%   
Citizens Financial's future price is the expected price of Citizens Financial instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Citizens Financial Group, performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Citizens Financial Backtesting, Citizens Financial Valuation, Citizens Financial Correlation, Citizens Financial Hype Analysis, Citizens Financial Volatility, Citizens Financial History as well as Citizens Financial Performance.
  
As of now, Citizens Financial's Price Sales Ratio is increasing as compared to previous years. Please specify Citizens Financial's target price for which you would like Citizens Financial odds to be computed.

Citizens Financial Target Price Odds to finish over 27.29

The tendency of Citizens Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  27.29  or more in 90 days
 27.28 90 days 27.29 
about 17.72
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Citizens Financial to move over  27.29  or more in 90 days from now is about 17.72 (This Citizens Financial Group, probability density function shows the probability of Citizens Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Citizens Financial Group, price to stay between its current price of  27.28  and  27.29  at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Citizens Financial has a beta of 0.0382 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Citizens Financial average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Citizens Financial Group, will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Citizens Financial Group, has an alpha of 0.0496, implying that it can generate a 0.0496 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Citizens Financial Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Citizens Financial

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Citizens Financial Group,. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.5226.9127.30
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.4526.8427.23
Details

Citizens Financial Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Citizens Financial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Citizens Financial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Citizens Financial Group,, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Citizens Financial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.04
σ
Overall volatility
0.54
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Citizens Financial Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Citizens Financial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Citizens Financial Group, can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Citizens Financial has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
On 7th of October 2024 Citizens Financial paid 0.6812 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Factorial Partners LLC Has 3.35 Million Stock Position in Citizens Financial Group, Inc. - MarketBeat

Citizens Financial Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Citizens Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Citizens Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Citizens Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding476.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments31.6 B

Citizens Financial Technical Analysis

Citizens Financial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Citizens Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Citizens Financial Group,. In general, you should focus on analyzing Citizens Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Citizens Financial Predictive Forecast Models

Citizens Financial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Citizens Financial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Citizens Financial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Citizens Financial Group,

Checking the ongoing alerts about Citizens Financial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Citizens Financial Group, help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Citizens Financial has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
On 7th of October 2024 Citizens Financial paid 0.6812 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Factorial Partners LLC Has 3.35 Million Stock Position in Citizens Financial Group, Inc. - MarketBeat
When determining whether Citizens Financial Group, is a strong investment it is important to analyze Citizens Financial's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Citizens Financial's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Citizens Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Please note, there is a significant difference between Citizens Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Citizens Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Citizens Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.