MBI Administradora (Chile) Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 27414.29

CFIMBDPA-E  CLP 24,582  0.00  0.00%   
MBI Administradora's future price is the expected price of MBI Administradora instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of MBI Administradora General performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out MBI Administradora Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, MBI Administradora Correlation, MBI Administradora Hype Analysis, MBI Administradora Volatility, MBI Administradora History as well as MBI Administradora Performance.
  
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MBI Administradora Target Price Odds to finish below 27414.29

The tendency of MBI Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  27,414  after 90 days
 24,582 90 days 27,414 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MBI Administradora to stay under  27,414  after 90 days from now is close to 99 (This MBI Administradora General probability density function shows the probability of MBI Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of MBI Administradora price to stay between its current price of  24,582  and  27,414  at the end of the 90-day period is about 73.61 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon MBI Administradora General has a beta of -0.0804 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding MBI Administradora are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, MBI Administradora General is likely to outperform the market. Additionally MBI Administradora General has an alpha of 0.0718, implying that it can generate a 0.0718 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   MBI Administradora Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for MBI Administradora

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MBI Administradora. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
24,58024,58224,584
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22,36822,37027,040
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
24,81524,81724,819
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
24,13024,94225,753
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as MBI Administradora. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against MBI Administradora's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, MBI Administradora's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in MBI Administradora.

MBI Administradora Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MBI Administradora is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MBI Administradora's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MBI Administradora General, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MBI Administradora within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.08
σ
Overall volatility
499.09
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

MBI Administradora Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of MBI Administradora for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for MBI Administradora can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
MBI Administradora generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

MBI Administradora Technical Analysis

MBI Administradora's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MBI Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MBI Administradora General. In general, you should focus on analyzing MBI Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

MBI Administradora Predictive Forecast Models

MBI Administradora's time-series forecasting models is one of many MBI Administradora's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MBI Administradora's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about MBI Administradora

Checking the ongoing alerts about MBI Administradora for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for MBI Administradora help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
MBI Administradora generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in MBI Etf

MBI Administradora financial ratios help investors to determine whether MBI Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in MBI with respect to the benefits of owning MBI Administradora security.