Carlyle Secured Lending Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 13.56
| CGBD Stock | USD 16.67 0.06 0.36% |
Carlyle |
Carlyle Secured Target Price Odds to finish below 13.56
The tendency of Carlyle Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 13.56 or more in 90 days |
| 16.67 | 90 days | 13.56 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Carlyle Secured to drop to $ 13.56 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Carlyle Secured Lending probability density function shows the probability of Carlyle Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Carlyle Secured Lending price to stay between $ 13.56 and its current price of $16.67 at the end of the 90-day period is about 37.75 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Carlyle Secured has a beta of 0.17 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Carlyle Secured average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Carlyle Secured Lending will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Carlyle Secured Lending has an alpha of 0.0274, implying that it can generate a 0.0274 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Carlyle Secured Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Carlyle Secured
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Carlyle Secured Lending. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Carlyle Secured Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Carlyle Secured is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Carlyle Secured's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Carlyle Secured Lending, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Carlyle Secured within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.45 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Carlyle Secured Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Carlyle Secured for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Carlyle Secured Lending can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Carlyle Secured is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| On 17th of October 2024 Carlyle Secured paid $ 0.47 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 1500 shares by Nestor John G. of Carlyle Secured subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Carlyle Secured Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Carlyle Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Carlyle Secured's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Carlyle Secured's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 56.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 60.4 M |
Carlyle Secured Technical Analysis
Carlyle Secured's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Carlyle Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Carlyle Secured Lending. In general, you should focus on analyzing Carlyle Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Carlyle Secured Predictive Forecast Models
Carlyle Secured's time-series forecasting models is one of many Carlyle Secured's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Carlyle Secured's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Carlyle Secured Lending
Checking the ongoing alerts about Carlyle Secured for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Carlyle Secured Lending help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Carlyle Secured is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| On 17th of October 2024 Carlyle Secured paid $ 0.47 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 1500 shares by Nestor John G. of Carlyle Secured subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out Carlyle Secured Backtesting, Carlyle Secured Valuation, Carlyle Secured Correlation, Carlyle Secured Hype Analysis, Carlyle Secured Volatility, Carlyle Secured History as well as Carlyle Secured Performance. You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Carlyle Secured. If investors know Carlyle will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Carlyle Secured listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.35) | Dividend Share 1.57 | Earnings Share 1.73 | Revenue Per Share 4.703 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.07) |
The market value of Carlyle Secured Lending is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Carlyle that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Carlyle Secured's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Carlyle Secured's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Carlyle Secured's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Carlyle Secured's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Carlyle Secured's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Carlyle Secured is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Carlyle Secured's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.